Championship

Championship | Gameweek 4

Oct 4, 2020 at 3pm UK

Bet365 Stadium

Stoke
1 - 1
Birmingham

Powell (86')
Chester (56'), Fox (83'), Clucas (85')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Dean (65')
Clayton (87')

Reaction

Birmingham City manager Aitor Karanka pictured on October 4, 2020

Aitor Karanka admits Birmingham did not deserve victory over Stoke

The Blues were denied all three points at the bet365 Stadium by Nick Powell's late equaliser.

Oct 4, 18:33

The Match

Match Report

Powell pounced four minutes from time to cancel out Harlee Dean's opener.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship fixture between Stoke City and Birmingham City, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 45.45%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 24.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.65%) and 2-1 (7.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.01%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
Stoke City	Draw	Birmingham City
45.45%	29.61%	24.94%

Both teams to score 39.58%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

33.57%

66.43%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.12%

84.88%

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.53%

29.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.53%

65.47%

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.12%

43.88%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.97%

80.03%

Score Analysis

Stoke City 45.45%

Birmingham City 24.94%

Draw 29.61%

Stoke City	Draw	Birmingham City
1-0 @ 15.8% 2-0 @ 9.65% 2-1 @ 7.95% 3-0 @ 3.93% 3-1 @ 3.24% 3-2 @ 1.33% 4-0 @ 1.2% 4-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.35% Total : 45.45%	1-1 @ 13.01% 0-0 @ 12.93% 2-2 @ 3.28% Other @ 0.39% Total : 29.61%	0-1 @ 10.65% 1-2 @ 5.36% 0-2 @ 4.39% 1-3 @ 1.47% 0-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 1.87% Total : 24.94%