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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 43.34%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 27.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.8%) and 2-1 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.17%), while for a Stoke City win it was 0-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Swansea City | Draw | Stoke City |
| 43.34% | 29% | 27.66% |
| Both teams to score 42.75% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.6% | 63.39% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.25% | 82.75% |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.89% | 29.1% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.97% | 65.03% |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.3% | 39.69% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.63% | 76.37% |
| Score Analysis |
| Swansea City | Draw | Stoke City |
| 1-0 @ 14.25% 2-0 @ 8.8% 2-1 @ 8.13% 3-0 @ 3.62% 3-1 @ 3.35% 3-2 @ 1.55% 4-0 @ 1.12% 4-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.49% Total : 43.33% | 1-1 @ 13.17% 0-0 @ 11.55% 2-2 @ 3.76% Other @ 0.51% Total : 28.99% | 0-1 @ 10.67% 1-2 @ 6.09% 0-2 @ 4.93% 1-3 @ 1.88% 0-3 @ 1.52% 2-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.42% Total : 27.66% |