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Championship | Gameweek 8
Oct 27, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Liberty Stadium
Stoke logo

Swansea
2 - 0
Stoke

Fulton (30'), Palmer (87')
Grimes (53'), Palmer (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Smith (51'), McClean (84'), Gunn (87')

The Match

Match Report

Jay Fulton and Kasey Palmer score either side of the break.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship fixture between Swansea City and Stoke City, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 43.34%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 27.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.8%) and 2-1 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.17%), while for a Stoke City win it was 0-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.

Result
Swansea CityDrawStoke City
43.34%29%27.66%
Both teams to score 42.75%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.6%63.39%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.25%82.75%
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.89%29.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.97%65.03%
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.3%39.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.63%76.37%
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 43.33%
    Stoke City 27.66%
    Draw 28.99%
Swansea CityDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 14.25%
2-0 @ 8.8%
2-1 @ 8.13%
3-0 @ 3.62%
3-1 @ 3.35%
3-2 @ 1.55%
4-0 @ 1.12%
4-1 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 43.33%
1-1 @ 13.17%
0-0 @ 11.55%
2-2 @ 3.76%
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 28.99%
0-1 @ 10.67%
1-2 @ 6.09%
0-2 @ 4.93%
1-3 @ 1.88%
0-3 @ 1.52%
2-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 27.66%