Championship

Championship | Gameweek 22

Dec 29, 2020 at 5.30pm UK

St. Andrew's Stadium

Birmingham
0 - 4
Derby

FT(HT: 0-3)

Bielik (15'), Shinnie (17' pen.), Kazim-Richards (26'), Knight (77')
Sibley (67')

Reaction

Derby County manager Wayne Rooney pictured in December 2020

Wayne Rooney thinks Derby are starting to believe in themselves

The Rams raced to a dominant victory at Birmingham with three goal in 10 first-half minutes.

Dec 29, 21:05

The Match

Match Report

Three goals in 10 first-half minutes did the damage at St Andrew's, with Jason Knight scoring late on.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 38.31%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.61%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (11.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.

Result
Birmingham City	Draw	Derby County
32.22%	29.48%	38.31%

Both teams to score 43.24%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.36%

63.65%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.07%

82.93%

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.74%

36.26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.96%

73.04%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.84%

32.16%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.35%

68.65%

Score Analysis

Birmingham City 32.22%

Derby County 38.3%

Draw 29.47%

Birmingham City	Draw	Derby County
1-0 @ 11.83% 2-1 @ 6.81% 2-0 @ 6% 3-1 @ 2.3% 3-0 @ 2.03% 3-2 @ 1.31% Other @ 1.94% Total : 32.22%	1-1 @ 13.42% 0-0 @ 11.66% 2-2 @ 3.86% Other @ 0.53% Total : 29.47%	0-1 @ 13.22% 1-2 @ 7.61% 0-2 @ 7.5% 1-3 @ 2.88% 0-3 @ 2.84% 2-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 2.79% Total : 38.3%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Derby

Birmingham City

44.7%

Draw

24.5%

Derby County

30.9%