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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 41.99%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 29.49% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.26%) and 2-1 (8.21%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (10.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Nottingham Forest | Draw | Birmingham City |
41.99% | 28.52% | 29.49% |
Both teams to score 44.88% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.8% | 61.2% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.86% | 81.14% |
Nottingham Forest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.23% | 28.78% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.38% | 64.62% |
Birmingham City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.01% | 36.99% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.22% | 73.78% |
Score Analysis |
Nottingham Forest | Draw | Birmingham City |
1-0 @ 13.25% 2-0 @ 8.26% 2-1 @ 8.21% 3-0 @ 3.43% 3-1 @ 3.41% 3-2 @ 1.7% 4-0 @ 1.07% 4-1 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.6% Total : 41.98% | 1-1 @ 13.18% 0-0 @ 10.64% 2-2 @ 4.08% Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.51% | 0-1 @ 10.58% 1-2 @ 6.56% 0-2 @ 5.26% 1-3 @ 2.17% 0-3 @ 1.75% 2-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 1.81% Total : 29.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 42 |
3 | Burnley | 21 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 8 | 18 | 41 |
4 | Sunderland | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 40 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 34 |
7 | Watford | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 34 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 32 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 29 |
10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 27 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 25 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Coventry CityCoventry | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 24 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 21 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 22 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 18 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 18 |
22 | Portsmouth | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 17 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 42 | -23 | 17 |
24 | Hull City | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 16 |
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