Championship

Championship | Gameweek 18

Dec 12, 2020 at 3pm UK

St. Andrew's Stadium

Birmingham
0 - 1
Watford

Kieftenbeld (15'), Pedersen (57')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Deeney (85' pen.)
Capoue (90+1')

Reaction

Troy Deeney celebrates after scoring for for Watford against Birmingham City in the Championship on December 12, 2020

Vladimir Ivic lauds "second coach" Troy Deeney as Watford edge past Birmingham

The Watford captain's 85th-minute spotkick secured a 1-0 win at Birmingham

Dec 12, 18:47

The Match

Match Report

Mikel San Jose went closest for the Blues, hitting the post in the first half.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 42.77%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 29.02% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.38%) and 1-2 (8.36%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Watford in this match.

Result
Birmingham City	Draw	Watford
29.02%	28.21%	42.77%

Both teams to score 45.5%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.68%

60.32%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.52%

80.48%

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.13%

36.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.34%

73.66%

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.07%

27.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.45%

63.55%

Score Analysis

Birmingham City 29.02%

Watford 42.76%

Draw 28.2%

Birmingham City	Draw	Watford
1-0 @ 10.27% 2-1 @ 6.54% 2-0 @ 5.13% 3-1 @ 2.17% 3-0 @ 1.71% 3-2 @ 1.39% Other @ 1.82% Total : 29.02%	1-1 @ 13.1% 0-0 @ 10.29% 2-2 @ 4.17% Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.2%	0-1 @ 13.13% 0-2 @ 8.38% 1-2 @ 8.36% 0-3 @ 3.56% 1-3 @ 3.55% 2-3 @ 1.77% 0-4 @ 1.14% 1-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.74% Total : 42.76%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Watford

Birmingham City

30.4%

Draw

37.0%

Watford

32.6%