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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 40.76%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.09%) and 2-1 (7.93%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (11.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Reading | Draw | Birmingham City |
| 40.76% | 29.16% | 30.08% |
| Both teams to score 43.46% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.92% | 63.08% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.48% | 82.52% |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.6% | 30.4% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.4% | 66.6% |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.44% | 37.56% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.66% | 74.34% |
| Score Analysis |
| Reading | Draw | Birmingham City |
| 1-0 @ 13.59% 2-0 @ 8.09% 2-1 @ 7.93% 3-0 @ 3.21% 3-1 @ 3.15% 3-2 @ 1.54% 4-0 @ 0.96% 4-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.36% Total : 40.76% | 1-1 @ 13.31% 0-0 @ 11.41% 2-2 @ 3.88% Other @ 0.54% Total : 29.14% | 0-1 @ 11.18% 1-2 @ 6.52% 0-2 @ 5.48% 1-3 @ 2.13% 0-3 @ 1.79% 2-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 1.72% Total : 30.08% |