Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 54.85%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Charlton Athletic win it was 0-1 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.