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Portsmouth
League One | Gameweek 24
Dec 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Fratton Park
Ipswich logo

Portsmouth
2 - 2
Ipswich

Pack (4'), Bishop (60')
Pack (78')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Burgess (11'), Chaplin (87')
Burgess (16')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League One clash between Portsmouth and Ipswich Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Portsmouth 1-2 Ipswich Town

While Pompey are winless in seven league games, Ipswich have only lost one of their last nine matches in League One, and with momentum in their favour, we think that the visitors will claim a narrow victory on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 43.11%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 31.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 1-0 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
PortsmouthDrawIpswich Town
31.49% (0.033000000000001 0.03) 25.4% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01) 43.11% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Both teams to score 55.09% (0.067 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.45% (0.079000000000001 0.08)48.56% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.32% (0.071999999999999 0.07)70.68% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.05% (0.064000000000007 0.06)28.95% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.16% (0.078000000000003 0.08)64.84% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.54% (0.024999999999991 0.02)22.46% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44% (0.037999999999997 0.04)56% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Portsmouth 31.49%
    Ipswich Town 43.11%
    Draw 25.39%
PortsmouthDrawIpswich Town
1-0 @ 8.06% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.46% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 5% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 3.08% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.3% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.06% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 0.96% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 31.49%
1-1 @ 12.03% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.5% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.57% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.39%
0-1 @ 9.71% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.99%
0-2 @ 7.25% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.48% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-3 @ 3.61% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.77% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.67% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.35% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.04% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 43.11%

How you voted: Portsmouth vs Ipswich

Portsmouth
25.0%
Draw
17.9%
Ipswich Town
57.1%
28
Head to Head
Nov 22, 2022 7.45pm
Second Round
Ipswich
0-2
Portsmouth

Morsy (45+3')
Scarlett (43'), Swanson (90+4')
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Ipswich
3-2
Portsmouth
Harness (25'), Ladapo (74'), Burns (80')
Bishop (32' pen., 79')
Scarlett (10')
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Oct 19, 2021 7.45pm
Portsmouth
0-4
Ipswich

Curtis (13'), Harness (18')
Bonne (42'), Chaplin (50'), Aluko (58'), Burns (75')
Edmundson (28'), Morsy (72')
Mar 20, 2021 1pm
Portsmouth
2-1
Ipswich
Naylor (41'), Harness (72')
Whatmough (18'), Curtis (52'), Cannon (56'), Jacobs (82')
Norwood (32')
Edwards (66'), Chambers (66'), Bishop (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe18124239211840
2Wrexham19124328111740
3Birmingham CityBirmingham17123232161639
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield18112528161235
5Stockport CountyStockport1996431191233
6Reading189453025531
7Bolton WanderersBolton179352827130
8Barnsley197662725227
9Lincoln CityLincoln197662423127
10Mansfield TownMansfield177372222024
11Exeter CityExeter187381619-324
12Charlton AthleticCharlton186571819-123
13Blackpool186572631-523
14Stevenage176471316-322
15Peterborough UnitedPeterborough186393332121
16Leyton Orient186391920-121
17Northampton TownNorthampton195682126-521
18Bristol Rovers186391726-921
19Wigan AthleticWigan185581516-120
20Rotherham UnitedRotherham175571620-420
21Crawley TownCrawley185491728-1119
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1844101829-1116
23Burton Albion1825111630-1411
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1832131835-1711


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