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Championship header 2

League One

Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2022 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Portsmouth

Exeter
0 - 0
Portsmouth

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Exeter City and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Bolton 2-0 Exeter
Saturday, December 17 at 3pm in League One

Portsmouth

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 0-2 MK Dons
Saturday, December 17 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 41.45%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 31.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.4%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Exeter CityDrawPortsmouth
31.98% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)26.57% (0.013999999999999 0.01)41.45% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 51.5% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.72% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)53.28% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.17% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05)74.83% (0.045999999999992 0.05)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)30.99% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.7% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)67.3% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.63% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)25.36% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.84% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)60.16% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 31.98%
    Portsmouth 41.44%
    Draw 26.57%
Exeter CityDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 9.21% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.4% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 5.39% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 2.89% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 2.11% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.98% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3%
Total : 31.98%
1-1 @ 12.63% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.86% (0.017 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.08% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.57%
0-1 @ 10.78% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.67% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.4% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 3.96% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.32% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.36% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 1.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 41.44%

How you voted: Exeter vs Portsmouth

Exeter City
22.6%
Draw
25.8%
Portsmouth
51.6%
31
Head to Head
Jan 7, 2022 7.30pm
Second Round
Exeter
2-3
Portsmouth
Jay (6'), Collins (76')
Hirst (5'), Curtis (89', 90+3')
Morrell (35'), Raggett (64'), Curtis (90+4')
Feb 18, 2020 7.45pm
Semi-Finals
Portsmouth
3-2
Exeter
Harness (86'), McGeehan (90'), Marquis (90')
Taylor (79'), Burgess (89' og.)
Fisher (50'), Warren (59')
Jan 28, 2017 3pm
Portsmouth
0-1
Exeter

Clarke (68'), Forde (79')
Wheeler (57')
Reid (78')
Aug 27, 2016 3pm
Exeter
0-1
Portsmouth

Harley (25'), Sweeney (85'), Riley-Lowe (90')
Roberts (85' pen.)
Mar 1, 2016 7.45pm
Exeter
1-1
Portsmouth
Watkins (90')
Chaplin (31')
Burgess (39')