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Championship header 2

League One
Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2022 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Portsmouth

Exeter
0 - 0
Portsmouth


Stansfield (31'), Sparkes (79'), Collins (90+2')
FT

Dale (40'), Morrison (58'), Morrell (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Exeter City and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Bolton 2-0 Exeter
Saturday, December 17 at 3pm in League One

Portsmouth

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 0-2 MK Dons
Saturday, December 17 at 3pm in League One

We said: Exeter City 1-1 Portsmouth

 Two of Exeter's last three games have ended all square, while Pompey have drawn four of their previous six matches, and we think that the two sides will have to settle for a share of the spoils when they go head-to-head on Monday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 41.45%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 31.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.4%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Exeter CityDrawPortsmouth
31.98% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 26.57% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 41.45% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 51.5% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.72% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)53.28% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.17% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05)74.83% (0.045999999999992 0.05)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)30.99% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.7% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)67.3% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.63% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)25.36% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.84% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)60.16% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 31.98%
    Portsmouth 41.44%
    Draw 26.57%
Exeter CityDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 9.21% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.4% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 5.39% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 2.89% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 2.11% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.98% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3%
Total : 31.98%
1-1 @ 12.63% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.86% (0.017 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.08% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.57%
0-1 @ 10.78% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.67% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.4% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 3.96% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.32% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.36% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 1.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 41.44%

How you voted: Exeter vs Portsmouth

Exeter City
22.6%
Draw
25.8%
Portsmouth
51.6%
31
Head to Head
Jan 7, 2022 7.30pm
Second Round
Exeter
2-3
Portsmouth
Jay (6'), Collins (76')
Hirst (5'), Curtis (89', 90+3')
Morrell (35'), Raggett (64'), Curtis (90+4')
Feb 18, 2020 7.45pm
Semi-Finals
Portsmouth
3-2
Exeter
Harness (86'), McGeehan (90'), Marquis (90')
Taylor (79'), Burgess (89' og.)
Fisher (50'), Warren (59')
Jan 28, 2017 3pm
Portsmouth
0-1
Exeter

Clarke (68'), Forde (79')
Wheeler (57')
Reid (78')
Aug 27, 2016 3pm
Exeter
0-1
Portsmouth

Harley (25'), Sweeney (85'), Riley-Lowe (90')
Roberts (85' pen.)
Mar 1, 2016 7.45pm
Exeter
1-1
Portsmouth
Watkins (90')
Chaplin (31')
Burgess (39')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
2Derby CountyDerby462881078374192
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
21Cheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030
> League One Full Table


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