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Eddie Nketiah
24'
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Bukayo Saka
53'
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Eddie Nketiah
90'
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Marcus Rashford
17'
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Lisandro Martinez
59'
Arsenal vs Manchester United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
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The match
Result
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Team News
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Match Preview
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Predicted Lineups
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Injuries & Suspensions
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 57.95%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Manchester United had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.58%) and 1-0 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%), while for a Manchester United win it was 1-2 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.
Result
Arsenal
57.95%
▲
(+0.27)
Draw
21.15%
▼
(-0.09)
Manchester United
20.9%
▼
(-0.18)
Both Teams to Score:
59.4%
▲
(+0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
61.76%
▲
(+0.15)
Under 2.5
38.24%
▼
(-0.15)
Over 3.5
39.48%
▲
(+0.16)
Under 3.5
60.52%
▼
(-0.16)
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5
87%
▲
(+0.13)
Under 0.5
13%
▼
(-0.13)
Over 1.5
60.47%
▲
(+0.26)
Under 1.5
39.53%
▼
(-0.26)
Manchester United Goals
Over 0.5
68.27%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 0.5
31.72%
▲
(+0.09)
Over 1.5
31.85%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 1.5
68.15%
▲
(+0.10)
Score analysis
Arsenal
57.95%
Draw
21.15%
Manchester United
20.9%
Arsenal
2-1
@
9.86%
▲
(+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.58% ▲ (+0.03)
1-0 @ 8.42% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 6.7% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 5.84% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3.85% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 3.42% ▲ (+0.04)
4-0 @ 2.98% ▲ (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.96% ▲ (+0.02)
5-1 @ 1.39% ▲ (+0.02)
5-0 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 57.95%
2-0 @ 8.58% ▲ (+0.03)
1-0 @ 8.42% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 6.7% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 5.84% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3.85% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 3.42% ▲ (+0.04)
4-0 @ 2.98% ▲ (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.96% ▲ (+0.02)
5-1 @ 1.39% ▲ (+0.02)
5-0 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 57.95%
Draw
1-1
@
9.66%
▼
(-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.66% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.13% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.47%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 21.15%
2-2 @ 5.66% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.13% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.47%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 21.15%
Manchester United
1-2
@
5.55%
▼
(-0.04)
0-1 @ 4.74% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 2.72% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 2.17% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.12% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 20.9%
0-1 @ 4.74% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 2.72% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 2.17% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.12% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 20.9%
Head to Head
Build-up
News
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Team News
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