Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 19

Jan 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Emirates Stadium

Arsenal
0 - 0
Newcastle

Reaction

Players from Arsenal and Newcastle United remonstrate with referee Andrew Madley on January 3, 2022

Arsenal fined £40,000 over Newcastle United penalty incident

Arsenal are fined £40,000 by the FA for failing to ensure that their players conducted themselves in an orderly fashion against Newcastle United.

Jan 13, 18:07

Arsenal hit with FA charge over Newcastle United penalty incident

Arsenal are hit with an FA charge for failing to ensure that their players conducted themselves in an orderly fashion against Newcastle United.

Jan 6, 17:16

Arsenal manager Mikel Arteta pictured on January 3, 2023

Mikel Arteta hits out at "scandalous" penalty calls in Newcastle United draw

Arsenal manager Mikel Arteta blasts the "scandalous" decision not to award his side two penalties in their 0-0 draw with Newcastle United.

Jan 3, 23:22

Newcastle United boss Eddie Howe during 4-0 win over Aston Villa on October 29, 2022.

Eddie Howe talks up Newcastle United's "mentality" in Arsenal draw

Eddie Howe talks up the "mentality" of his Newcastle United side as they earned a goalless draw at Premier League leaders Arsenal on Tuesday evening.

Jan 3, 23:13

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Brighton 2-4 Arsenal
Saturday, December 31 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Newcastle United

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Newcastle 0-0 Leeds
Saturday, December 31 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 59.09%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 20.08%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.73%) and 1-0 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.51%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 1-2 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Arsenal	Draw	Newcastle United
59.09% ( 4.08)	20.83% ( -1.38)	20.08% ( -2.7)

Both teams to score 59.21% (

0.75)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.12% (

2.86)

37.87% (

-2.86)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.87% (

2.99)

60.13% (

-2.99)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.44% (

2.19)

12.55% (

-2.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.39% (

4.36)

38.6% (

-4.36)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.71% (

-0.85)

32.29% (

0.85)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.21% (

-0.98)

68.79% (

0.97)

Score Analysis

Arsenal 59.09%

Newcastle United 20.08%

Draw 20.83%

Arsenal	Draw	Newcastle United
2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.73% ( 0.23) 1-0 @ 8.41% ( -0.46) 3-1 @ 6.82% ( 0.55) 3-0 @ 6.04% ( 0.62) 3-2 @ 3.86% ( 0.23) 4-1 @ 3.54% ( 0.54) 4-0 @ 3.13% ( 0.54) 4-2 @ 2% ( 0.26) 5-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.32) 5-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.31) Other @ 3.93% Total : 59.09%	1-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.75) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 4.05% ( -0.58) 3-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.23% Total : 20.83%	1-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.57) 0-1 @ 4.58% ( -0.78) 0-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.51) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.27) 0-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.22) Other @ 2.43% Total : 20.08%