Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 59.72%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Leeds United had a probability of 18.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Leeds United win it was 0-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle United | Draw | Leeds United |
| 59.72% ( | 21.82% ( | 18.46% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.88% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.13% ( | 44.87% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.78% ( | 67.22% ( |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.37% ( | 14.62% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.26% ( | 42.74% ( |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.93% ( | 38.06% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.17% ( | 74.83% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle United | Draw | Leeds United |
| 1-0 @ 10.7% ( 2-0 @ 10.28% ( 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 3-0 @ 6.59% ( 3-1 @ 6.37% ( 4-0 @ 3.17% ( 3-2 @ 3.08% ( 4-1 @ 3.06% ( 4-2 @ 1.48% ( 5-0 @ 1.22% ( 5-1 @ 1.18% ( Other @ 2.66% Total : 59.71% | 1-1 @ 10.33% ( 0-0 @ 5.57% ( 2-2 @ 4.8% ( 3-3 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.81% | 0-1 @ 5.38% ( 1-2 @ 4.99% ( 0-2 @ 2.6% ( 1-3 @ 1.61% ( 2-3 @ 1.55% ( Other @ 2.34% Total : 18.46% |