Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 17

Dec 28, 2022 at 8pm UK

Elland Road

Leeds
1 - 3
Man City

Struijk (73')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Rodri (45+1'), Braut Haaland (51', 64')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Leeds 2-4 Monaco
Wednesday, December 21 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Manchester City

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Man City 3-2 Liverpool
Thursday, December 22 at 8pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 68.03%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Leeds United had a probability of 14.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.67%) and 0-1 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.18%), while for a Leeds United win it was 2-1 (4.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Leeds United	Draw	Manchester City
14.1% ( 0.04)	17.88% ( -0.09)	68.03% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 56.77% (

0.48)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.04% (

0.56)

34.96% (

-0.55)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.05% (

0.62)

56.95% (

-0.61)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.66% (

0.42)

37.35% (

-0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.87% (

0.41)

74.13% (

-0.41)

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.6% (

0.16)

9.4% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.37% (

0.38)

31.63% (

-0.37)

Score Analysis

Leeds United 14.1%

Manchester City 68.03%

Draw 17.88%

Leeds United	Draw	Manchester City
2-1 @ 4.03% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 3.46% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 1.7% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.56% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.03% Total : 14.1%	1-1 @ 8.18% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 3.51% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.2% Total : 17.88%	0-2 @ 9.81% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 9.67% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.3% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 7.73% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 7.62% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 4.57% ( 0) 1-4 @ 4.5% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 3.75% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 2.22% ( 0.05) 0-5 @ 2.16% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 2.13% ( 0.04) 2-5 @ 1.05% ( 0.03) Other @ 4.51% Total : 68.03%