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Pascal Struijk
73'
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Rodri
45'+1'
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Erling Braut Haaland
51'
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Erling Braut Haaland
64'
Leeds United vs Manchester City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 68.03%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Leeds United had a probability of 14.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.67%) and 0-1 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.18%), while for a Leeds United win it was 2-1 (4.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Leeds United Goals
Manchester City Goals
Score analysis
1-0 @ 3.46% ▼ (-0.06)
2-0 @ 1.7% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 14.1%
2-2 @ 4.76% ▲ (+0.05)
0-0 @ 3.51% ▼ (-0.10)
3-3 @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 17.88%
1-2 @ 9.67% ▼ (-0.03)
0-1 @ 8.3% ▼ (-0.18)
0-3 @ 7.73% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 7.62% ▲ (+0.04)
0-4 @ 4.57% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 4.5% ▲ (+0.06)
2-3 @ 3.75% ▲ (+0.07)
2-4 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.06)
0-5 @ 2.16% ▲ (+0.02)
1-5 @ 2.13% ▲ (+0.05)
2-5 @ 1.05% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 4.51%
Total : 68.03%
Liam Cooper
45'+1'