Premier League Gameweek 18
Brighton
Dec 31, 2022 5.30pm
2
4
HT : 0 2
FT
Arsenal
  • Kaoru Mitoma 65' goal
  • Evan Ferguson 77' goal
  • goal Bukayo Saka 2'
  • goal Martin Odegaard 39'
  • goal Eddie Nketiah 47'
  • goal Gabriel Martinelli 71'

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Arsenal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions
Last game
Dec 26, 2022 3.00pm
Southampton 1 - 3 Brighton
Goals scored
72
Top scorer
Alexis Mac Allister

Arsenal

All competitions
Last game
Dec 26, 2022 8.00pm
Arsenal 3 - 1 West Ham
Goals scored
88
Top scorer
Gabriel Martinelli

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 44.21%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 29.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-0 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result

Brighton & Hove Albion 29.29% ▼ (-0.13)
Draw 26.5% ▼ (-0.07)
Arsenal 44.21% ▲ (+0.19)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.53% ▲ (+0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.04% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 2.5 53.96% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 3.5 24.59% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 3.5 75.41% ▼ (-0.18)

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5 66.73% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 0.5 33.27% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 30.12% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 69.88% ▼ (-0.03)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5 75.73% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 0.5 24.27% ▼ (-0.19)
Over 1.5 41.36% ▲ (+0.27)
Under 1.5 58.64% ▼ (-0.27)

Score analysis

Brighton & Hove Albion 29.29%
Draw 26.49%
Arsenal 44.21%
Brighton & Hove Albion
1-0 @ 8.89% ▼ (-0.07)
2-1 @ 6.92% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 4.89% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 2.54% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.8% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.79% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 29.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.58% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 8.07% ▼ (-0.07)
2-2 @ 4.9% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 26.49%
Arsenal
0-1 @ 11.43% ▼ (-0.04)
1-2 @ 8.91% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 8.09% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 4.2% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 3.82% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.31% ▲ (+0.03)
1-4 @ 1.49% ▲ (+0.03)
0-4 @ 1.35% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 44.21%

Head to Head

EFL Cup
Arsenal
Nov 9, 2022 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT Emirates Stadium
Brighton
  • Eddie Nketiah 20' goal
  • goal Danny Welbeck 27'
  • goal Kaoru Mitoma 58'
  • goal Tariq Lamptey 71'
Premier League Gameweek 32
Arsenal
Apr 9, 2022 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Brighton
  • Martin Odegaard 39' yellowcard
  • Bukayo Saka 50' yellowcard
  • Albert Sambi Lokonga 82' yellowcard
  • Martin Odegaard 89' goal
  • goal Leandro Trossard 29'
  • yellowcard Yves Bissouma 35'
  • yellowcard Pascal Gross 40'
  • yellowcard Moises Caicedo 52'
  • goal Enock Mwepu 66'
  • yellowcard Robert Sanchez 90'+1'
Premier League Gameweek 7
Brighton
Oct 2, 2021 5.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Arsenal
  • Neal Maupay 74' yellowcard
  • Joel Veltman 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Thomas Partey 90'+1'
Premier League Gameweek 38
Arsenal
May 23, 2021 4.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brighton
  • Nicolas Pepe 49' goal
  • Nicolas Pepe 60' goal
Premier League Gameweek 16
Brighton
Dec 29, 2020 6.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Arsenal
  • Lewis Dunk 59' yellowcard
  • Alireza Jahanbakhsh 65' yellowcard
  • goal Alexandre Lacazette 66'
Premier League Gameweek 30
Brighton
Jun 20, 2020 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT The American Express Community Stadium
Arsenal
  • Dan Burn 30' redcard
  • Dan Burn 30' yellowcard
  • Aaron Mooy 44' redcard
  • Aaron Mooy 44' yellowcard
  • Lewis Dunk 75' goal
  • Neal Maupay 90'+5' goal
  • redcard Alexandre Lacazette 54'
  • yellowcard Alexandre Lacazette 54'
  • goal Nicolas Pepe 68'

Form Data

Southampton 1 - 3 Brighton
Charlton 0 - 0 Brighton
Aston Villa 2 - 2 Brighton
Brighton 1 - 2 Aston Villa
Arsenal 1 - 3 Brighton
Wolves 2 - 3 Brighton
Arsenal 3 - 1 West Ham
Arsenal 0 - 2 Juventus
Arsenal 2 - 1 AC Milan
Arsenal 3 - 0 Lyon
Wolves 0 - 2 Arsenal
Arsenal 1 - 3 Brighton

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