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Premier League | Gameweek 18
Dec 31, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Falmer Stadium
Arsenal logo

Brighton
2 - 4
Arsenal

Mitoma (65'), Ferguson (77')
Gilmour (45'), March (57'), Sarmiento (81')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Saka (2'), Odegaard (39'), Nketiah (47'), Martinelli (71')
Magalhaes (45+1'), Partey (45+2'), Saka (54')

The Match

Match Report

Arsenal survive a few scares to record a 4-2 win over Brighton & Hove Albion and go seven points clear of Manchester City at the top of the Premier League table.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's Premier League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Arsenal.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Arsenal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Arsenal could line up for Saturday's Premier League clash with Brighton & Hove Albion.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Arsenal's latest injury and suspension news ahead of their Premier League clash with Brighton & Hove Albion.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arsenal 3-1 West Ham
Monday, December 26 at 8pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 44.21%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 29.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-0 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawArsenal
29.29% (-0.12 -0.12) 26.5% (-0.067 -0.07) 44.21% (0.187 0.19)
Both teams to score 50.53% (0.138 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.04% (0.211 0.21)53.96% (-0.21 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.59% (0.177 0.18)75.41% (-0.175 -0.17)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.73% (0.021000000000001 0.02)33.27% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.12% (0.024000000000001 0.02)69.88% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.73% (0.18600000000001 0.19)24.27% (-0.184 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.36% (0.261 0.26)58.64% (-0.26000000000001 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 29.29%
    Arsenal 44.21%
    Draw 26.49%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawArsenal
1-0 @ 8.89% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
2-1 @ 6.92% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.89% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.8% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.79% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 29.29%
1-1 @ 12.58% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 8.07% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.9% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 26.49%
0-1 @ 11.43% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.91% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 8.09% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.2% (0.035 0.04)
0-3 @ 3.82% (0.03 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.31% (0.021 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.49% (0.02 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.35% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 44.21%

How you voted: Brighton vs Arsenal

Brighton & Hove Albion
13.1%
Draw
11.9%
Arsenal
75.1%
337
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2022 7.45pm
Third Round
Arsenal
1-3
Brighton
Nketiah (20')
Welbeck (27' pen.), Mitoma (58'), Lamptey (71')
Caicedo (8')
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Arsenal
1-2
Brighton
Odegaard (89')
Odegaard (39'), Saka (50'), Sambi Lokonga (82')
Trossard (29'), Mwepu (66')
Bissouma (35'), Gross (40'), Caicedo (52'), Sanchez (90+1')
Oct 2, 2021 5.30pm
May 23, 2021 4pm
Dec 29, 2020 6pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool14112129111835
2Chelsea1594235181731
3Arsenal1585229151429
4Manchester CityMan City158342721627
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest157441918125
6Aston Villa157442323025
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton156632522324
8Bournemouth157352320324
9Brentford157263128323
10Fulham156542220223
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1562731191220
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle155551921-220
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd155461918119
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham155372028-818
15Everton143561421-714
16Leicester CityLeicester153572130-914
17Crystal Palace152761420-613
18Ipswich TownIpswich151681427-139
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1523102338-159
20Southampton1512121131-205


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