Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 17

Dec 26, 2022 at 8pm UK

Emirates Stadium

Arsenal
3 - 1
West Ham

Saka (53'), Martinelli (58'), Nketiah (69')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Benrahma (27' pen.)

Reaction

Eddie Nketiah celebrates scoring for Arsenal on December 26, 2022

Eddie Nketiah: 'I'm not here to replace Gabriel Jesus'

Arsenal striker Eddie Nketiah insists that he does not want to be seen as a replacement for Gabriel Jesus after scoring in his side's 3-1 win over West Ham United.

Dec 27, 09:05

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Arsenal 0-2 Juventus
Saturday, December 17 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

West Ham United

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Fulham 1-1 West Ham
Saturday, December 17 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 60.39%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for West Ham United had a probability of 18.74%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.46%) and 1-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for a West Ham United win it was 1-2 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result
Arsenal	Draw	West Ham United
60.39% ( -0.13)	20.86% ( 0.03)	18.74% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 56.63% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.86% (

0.01)

40.14% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.49% (

0.01)

62.5% (

-0.02)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.1% (

-0.03)

12.89% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.69% (

-0.07)

39.3% (

0.06)

West Ham United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.01% (

0.11)

34.98% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.27% (

0.11)

71.72% (

-0.12)

Score Analysis

Arsenal 60.39%

West Ham United 18.74%

Draw 20.86%

Arsenal	Draw	West Ham United
2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.46% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 9.24% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.79% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.46% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.48% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.31% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.83% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.55% Total : 60.39%	1-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.51% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.86%	1-2 @ 5.1% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 4.74% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.49% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.8% Total : 18.74%