Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 2

Sep 19, 2020 at 8pm UK

Emirates Stadium

Arsenal
2 - 1
West Ham

Lacazette (25'), Nketiah (85')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Antonio (45')
Fredericks (40')

Reaction

Arsenal manager Mikel Arteta pictured on September 19, 2020

Mikel Arteta admits Arsenal were "lucky" to beat West Ham

Substitute Eddie Nketiah came off the bench to snatch maximum points for the below-par hosts.

Sep 20, 00:01

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 40.93%. A win for Arsenal had a probability of 34.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.32%). The likeliest Arsenal win was 2-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.

Result
Arsenal	Draw	West Ham United
34.5%	24.57%	40.93%

Both teams to score 58.97%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.05%

43.95%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.67%

66.34%

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.13%

24.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.53%

59.47%

West Ham United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.49%

21.51%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.43%

54.57%

Score Analysis

Arsenal 34.5%

West Ham United 40.93%

Draw 24.56%

Arsenal	Draw	West Ham United
2-1 @ 7.96% 1-0 @ 7.45% 2-0 @ 5.18% 3-1 @ 3.69% 3-2 @ 2.84% 3-0 @ 2.4% 4-1 @ 1.29% 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.71% Total : 34.5%	1-1 @ 11.43% 2-2 @ 6.12% 0-0 @ 5.35% 3-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.56%	1-2 @ 8.79% 0-1 @ 8.22% 0-2 @ 6.32% 1-3 @ 4.5% 0-3 @ 3.23% 2-3 @ 3.13% 1-4 @ 1.73% 0-4 @ 1.24% 2-4 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.57% Total : 40.93%