FA Cup
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Mohamed Elneny
63'
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Eddie Nketiah
70'
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Eddie Nketiah
76'
Oxford United vs Arsenal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
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News
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The match
Result
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Team News
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Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
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Injuries & Suspensions
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 52.67%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 24.36% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.17%) and 0-2 (8.35%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 2-1 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.
Result
Oxford United
24.36%
▲
(+2.37)
Draw
22.97%
▲
(+0.87)
Arsenal
52.67%
▼
(-3.23)
Both Teams to Score:
57.75%
▲
(+0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5
57.44%
▼
(-1.33)
Under 2.5
42.56%
▲
(+1.32)
Over 3.5
35.03%
▼
(-1.33)
Under 3.5
64.97%
▲
(+1.33)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5
68.9%
▲
(+1.32)
Under 0.5
31.1%
▼
(-1.32)
Over 1.5
32.57%
▲
(+1.51)
Under 1.5
67.43%
▼
(-1.52)
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5
83.82%
▼
(-1.56)
Under 0.5
16.18%
▲
(+1.56)
Over 1.5
54.34%
▼
(-2.91)
Under 1.5
45.65%
▲
(+2.90)
Score analysis
Oxford United
24.36%
Draw
22.97%
Arsenal
52.67%
Oxford United
2-1
@
6.25%
▲
(+0.47)
1-0 @ 5.88% ▲ (+0.54)
2-0 @ 3.43% ▲ (+0.43)
3-1 @ 2.43% ▲ (+0.27)
3-2 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.13)
3-0 @ 1.34% ▲ (+0.21)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 24.36%
1-0 @ 5.88% ▲ (+0.54)
2-0 @ 3.43% ▲ (+0.43)
3-1 @ 2.43% ▲ (+0.27)
3-2 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.13)
3-0 @ 1.34% ▲ (+0.21)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 24.36%
Draw
1-1
@
10.7%
▲
(+0.43)
2-2 @ 5.69% ▲ (+0.14)
0-0 @ 5.03% ▲ (+0.30)
3-3 @ 1.35% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.97%
2-2 @ 5.69% ▲ (+0.14)
0-0 @ 5.03% ▲ (+0.30)
3-3 @ 1.35% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.97%
Arsenal
1-2
@
9.75%
▼
(-0.12)
0-1 @ 9.17% ▲ (+0.06)
0-2 @ 8.35% ▼ (-0.42)
1-3 @ 5.92% ▼ (-0.41)
0-3 @ 5.07% ▼ (-0.55)
2-3 @ 3.46% ▼ (-0.11)
1-4 @ 2.7% ▼ (-0.35)
0-4 @ 2.31% ▼ (-0.40)
2-4 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.14)
Other @ 4.39%
Total : 52.67%
0-1 @ 9.17% ▲ (+0.06)
0-2 @ 8.35% ▼ (-0.42)
1-3 @ 5.92% ▼ (-0.41)
0-3 @ 5.07% ▼ (-0.55)
2-3 @ 3.46% ▼ (-0.11)
1-4 @ 2.7% ▼ (-0.35)
0-4 @ 2.31% ▼ (-0.40)
2-4 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.14)
Other @ 4.39%
Total : 52.67%
Build-up
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