League One

League One | Gameweek 25

Jan 1, 2023 at 3pm UK

The Kassam Stadium

Oxford Utd
0 - 1
Exeter

FT(HT: 0-0)

Nombe (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League One clash between Oxford United and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Oxford Utd 3-1 Charlton
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Exeter City

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Bristol Rovers 3-4 Exeter
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 58.45%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 19.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for a Exeter City win it was 1-2 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Oxford United	Draw	Exeter City
58.45% ( -0.07)	21.65% ( 0.02)	19.9% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 56.01% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.05% (

0.01)

41.94% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.65% (

0.01)

64.35% (

-0)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.94% (

-0.02)

14.06% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.36% (

-0.04)

41.64% (

0.04)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.17% (

0.05)

34.82% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.44% (

0.06)

71.56% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Oxford United 58.45%

Exeter City 19.9%

Draw 21.64%

Oxford United	Draw	Exeter City
2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.61% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.42% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.5% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.16% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.43% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.19% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.02% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.68% 5-1 @ 1.25% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.19% ( -0) Other @ 3.06% Total : 58.45%	1-1 @ 10.13% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.9% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.64%	1-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.16% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.84% ( 0) 0-3 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 1.99% Total : 19.9%