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League One
Oxford United
League One | Gameweek 25
Jan 1, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Exeter City

Oxford Utd
0 - 1
Exeter


Brown (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Nombe (79')
Sparkes (84'), Stansfield (90+1'), Blackman (90+5'), Collins (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League One clash between Oxford United and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 3-1 Charlton
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One

Exeter City

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 3-4 Exeter
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Oxford United 2-1 Exeter City

 After both sides were involved in thrilling matches on Thursday, we can envisage more goals between these two teams on Sunday. The short turnaround is likely to cause some tired legs out there at Kassam Stadium, with both managers' usage of their respective benches potentially pivotal during the latter stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 58.45%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 19.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for a Exeter City win it was 1-2 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawExeter City
58.45% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07) 21.65% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 19.9% (0.050999999999998 0.05)
Both teams to score 56.01% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.05% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)41.94% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.65% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)64.35% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.94% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)14.06% (0.019 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.36% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)41.64% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.17% (0.054000000000002 0.05)34.82% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.44% (0.056999999999999 0.06)71.56% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 58.45%
    Exeter City 19.9%
    Draw 21.64%
Oxford UnitedDrawExeter City
2-1 @ 9.94% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 9.61% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.42% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.5% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 6.16% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.43% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 3.19% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 3.02% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.68%
5-1 @ 1.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.19% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 58.45%
1-1 @ 10.13% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.24% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.9% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.21% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 21.64%
1-2 @ 5.34% (0.011 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.16% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.72% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.88% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.84% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 0.96% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 19.9%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Exeter

Oxford United
71.4%
Draw
7.1%
Exeter City
21.4%
14
Head to Head
Nov 26, 2022 3pm
Second Round
Oxford Utd
4-1
Exeter
Taylor (9'), Bodin (79', 88'), Brannagan (85')
Jay (89')
Hartridge (22')
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Exeter
2-4
Oxford Utd
Brown (65'), Cox (90+2')
Collins (11')
Brannagan (12'), Long (31'), Joseph (44', 54')
Dec 4, 2019 7pm
Round of 32
Exeter
0-0
Oxford Utd
 Exeter win 3-0 on penalties

Tillson (30')

Mackie (61')
Feb 23, 2016 7.45pm
Exeter
1-4
Oxford Utd
Nicholls (77')
Tillson (45')
Dunkley (8'), Bowery (41', 59'), MacDonald (62')
Dec 26, 2015 3pm
Oxford Utd
3-0
Exeter
Lundstram (48'), Baldock (67'), Sercombe (90')
Dunkley (36'), MacDonald (42'), Baldock (43')

Nicholls (42'), Tillson (43'), Holmes (72'), Watkins (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe18124239211840
2Wrexham19124328111740
3Birmingham CityBirmingham17123232161639
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield18112528161235
5Stockport CountyStockport1996431191233
6Reading189453025531
7Bolton WanderersBolton179352827130
8Barnsley197662725227
9Lincoln CityLincoln197662423127
10Mansfield TownMansfield177372222024
11Exeter CityExeter187381619-324
12Charlton AthleticCharlton186571819-123
13Blackpool186572631-523
14Stevenage176471316-322
15Peterborough UnitedPeterborough186393332121
16Leyton Orient186391920-121
17Northampton TownNorthampton195682126-521
18Bristol Rovers186391726-921
19Wigan AthleticWigan185581516-120
20Rotherham UnitedRotherham175571620-420
21Crawley TownCrawley185491728-1119
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1844101829-1116
23Burton Albion1825111630-1411
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1832131835-1711
> League One Full Table


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