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Oxford United
League One | Gameweek 25
Jan 1, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Exeter City

Oxford Utd
0 - 1
Exeter


Brown (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Nombe (79')
Sparkes (84'), Stansfield (90+1'), Blackman (90+5'), Collins (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League One clash between Oxford United and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oxford Utd 3-1 Charlton
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 3-4 Exeter
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Oxford United 2-1 Exeter City

After both sides were involved in thrilling matches on Thursday, we can envisage more goals between these two teams on Sunday. The short turnaround is likely to cause some tired legs out there at Kassam Stadium, with both managers' usage of their respective benches potentially pivotal during the latter stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 58.45%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 19.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for a Exeter City win it was 1-2 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawExeter City
58.45% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07) 21.65% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 19.9% (0.050999999999998 0.05)
Both teams to score 56.01% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.05% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)41.94% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.65% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)64.35% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.94% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)14.06% (0.019 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.36% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)41.64% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.17% (0.054000000000002 0.05)34.82% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.44% (0.056999999999999 0.06)71.56% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 58.45%
    Exeter City 19.9%
    Draw 21.64%
Oxford UnitedDrawExeter City
2-1 @ 9.94% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 9.61% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.42% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.5% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 6.16% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.43% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 3.19% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 3.02% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.68%
5-1 @ 1.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.19% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 58.45%
1-1 @ 10.13% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.24% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.9% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.21% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 21.64%
1-2 @ 5.34% (0.011 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.16% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.72% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.88% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.84% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 0.96% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 19.9%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Exeter

Oxford United
71.4%
Draw
7.1%
Exeter City
21.4%
14
Head to Head
Nov 26, 2022 3pm
Second Round
Oxford Utd
4-1
Exeter
Taylor (9'), Bodin (79', 88'), Brannagan (85')
Jay (89')
Hartridge (22')
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Exeter
2-4
Oxford Utd
Brown (65'), Cox (90+2')
Collins (11')
Brannagan (12'), Long (31'), Joseph (44', 54')
Dec 4, 2019 7pm
Round of 32
Exeter
0-0
Oxford Utd
Exeter win 3-0 on penalties

Tillson (30')

Mackie (61')
Feb 23, 2016 7.45pm
Exeter
1-4
Oxford Utd
Nicholls (77')
Tillson (45')
Dunkley (8'), Bowery (41', 59'), MacDonald (62')
Dec 26, 2015 3pm
Oxford Utd
3-0
Exeter
Lundstram (48'), Baldock (67'), Sercombe (90')
Dunkley (36'), MacDonald (42'), Baldock (43')

Nicholls (42'), Tillson (43'), Holmes (72'), Watkins (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
2Derby CountyDerby462881078374192
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
21Cheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030


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