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Championship header 2

League One

Bristol Rovers
League One | Gameweek 24
Dec 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Memorial Stadium
Exeter City

Bristol Rovers
3 - 4
Exeter

Collins (57'), Coburn (64'), Sinclair (74' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-2)
Nombe (13', 90+2'), Collins (45+2'), Dieng (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League One clash between Bristol Rovers and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol Rovers

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Wycombe 2-1 Bristol Rovers
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League One

Exeter City

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Exeter 0-0 Portsmouth
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 48.52%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 26.43% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawExeter City
48.52% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)25.05% (-0.012 -0.01)26.43% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Both teams to score 52.99% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.19% (0.079999999999998 0.08)49.81% (-0.080000000000005 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.19% (0.07 0.07)71.81% (-0.069999999999993 -0.07)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.45% (0.018999999999991 0.02)20.55% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.93% (0.029999999999994 0.03)53.07% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.7% (0.075000000000003 0.08)33.3% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.08% (0.082999999999998 0.08)69.91% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 48.51%
    Exeter City 26.43%
    Draw 25.04%
Bristol RoversDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 10.82% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.42% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.57% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 4.52% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.73% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.97% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.79% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.08% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 48.51%
1-1 @ 11.9% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.84% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.18% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 1% (0.0039999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.04%
0-1 @ 7.53% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.55% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.14% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 2.4% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.9% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.52% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 26.43%

How you voted: Bristol Rovers vs Exeter

Bristol Rovers
69.2%
Draw
23.1%
Exeter City
7.7%
26
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Exeter
2-2
Bristol Rovers
Brown (72' pen.), Nombe (82')
Marquis (63'), Loft (90+2')
Evans (15')
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Bristol Rovers
1-1
Exeter
Hoole (10')
Brown (24')
Grounds (90')
Nov 10, 2021 7pm
Exeter
5-3
Bristol Rovers
Coley (2', 44'), Dieng (4'), Amond (12', 38')
Sweeney (76'), Daniel (90+2')
Westbrooke (61'), Jones (72'), Anderton (88')
Martinez (24'), Jones (74'), Mbuenimo (81')
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Exeter
4-1
Bristol Rovers
Jay (3', 15'), Dieng (22'), Kite (24')
Edwards (87')
Finley (70')
Baldwin (24'), Finley (59')
Nov 13, 2018 7.45pm
Exeter
2-0
Bristol Rovers
Forte (50'), Randall (81')
Abrahams (90')

Menayese (35')