FA Cup

FA Cup | Third Round

Jan 7, 2023 at 12.30pm UK

Selhurst Park

Crystal Palace
1 - 2
Southampton

Edouard (14')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Ward-Prowse (37'), Armstrong (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Crystal Palace and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crystal Palace

All competitions

Last Game: Crystal Palace 0-4 Spurs
Wednesday, January 4 at 8pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Southampton

All competitions

Last Game: Southampton 0-1 Nott'm Forest
Wednesday, January 4 at 7.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 43.06%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 31.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Crystal Palace	Draw	Southampton
43.06% ( 1.7)	25.61% ( -0.46)	31.33% ( -1.24)

Both teams to score 54.33% (

1.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.48% (

1.55)

49.52% (

-1.55)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.45% (

1.38)

71.55% (

-1.38)

Crystal Palace Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.1% (

1.52)

22.9% (

-1.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.35% (

2.19)

56.65% (

-2.19)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.46% (

-0.05)

29.54% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.43% (

-0.06)

65.57% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Crystal Palace 43.06%

Southampton 31.33%

Draw 25.6%

Crystal Palace	Draw	Southampton
1-0 @ 9.97% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 8.96% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 7.35% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 4.4% ( 0.3) 3-0 @ 3.61% ( 0.25) 3-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.18) 4-1 @ 1.62% ( 0.18) 4-0 @ 1.33% ( 0.15) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.13% Total : 43.06%	1-1 @ 12.15% ( -0.24) 0-0 @ 6.76% ( -0.44) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.6%	0-1 @ 8.25% ( -0.55) 1-2 @ 7.41% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.34) 1-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.14) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.45% Total : 31.33%