FA Cup
Jan 28, 2023 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT Old Trafford
  • Casemiro 54' goal
  • Casemiro 58' goal
  • Fred 66' goal
  • goal Amadou Mbengue 72'

Manchester United vs Reading - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester United

All competitions

Reading

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 80%. A draw had a probability of 13.4% and a win for Reading had a probability of 6.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.64%) and 1-0 (10.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.37%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (2.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.

Result

Manchester United 80% (-0.06)
Draw 13.39% (+0.04)
Reading 6.61% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.31% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 63.18% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 36.82% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 41% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 58.99% (+0.08)

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5 92.77% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 7.23% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 73.79% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 26.21% (+0.08)

Reading Goals

Over 0.5 46.69% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 53.31% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 13.15% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 86.85% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Manchester United 79.98%
Draw 13.39%
Reading 6.62%
Manchester United
2-0 @ 13.29% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 11.64% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 10.12% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 8.36% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 7.65% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 7.33% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 4.81% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 4.02% (-0.02)
5-1 @ 2.53% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.01)
6-0 @ 1.76% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.51% (-0.01)
6-1 @ 1.11% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 79.98%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.37% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 3.85% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 2.63% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 13.39%
Reading
0-1 @ 2.42% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 2% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 6.62%

Head to Head

FA Cup
Jan 5, 2019 12.30pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Juan Mata 22' goal
  • Romelu Lukaku 45' goal
  • Tahith Chong 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andy Yiadom 33'
FA Cup
Jan 7, 2017 12.30pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Wayne Rooney 7' goal
  • Anthony Martial 15' goal
  • Ashley Young 54' yellowcard
  • Marcus Rashford 75' goal
  • Marcus Rashford 79' goal
Premier League
Mar 16, 2013 5.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Wayne Rooney 21' goal
  • yellowcard Noel Hunt 43'
  • yellowcard Stephen Kelly 56'
FA Cup
Feb 18, 2013 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Nani 0' goal
  • Javier Hernandez 0' goal
  • goal Jobi McAnuff 0'
Premier League
Dec 1, 2012 5.30pm
3
4
HT : 3 4
FT
  • Hal Robson-Kanu 8' goal
  • Adam Le Fondre 19' goal
  • Sean Morrison 23' goal
  • Jay Tabb 79' yellowcard
  • goal Anderson 13'
  • goal Wayne Rooney 16'
  • yellowcard Rafael 28'
  • goal Wayne Rooney 30'
  • goal Robin Van Persie 34'
Premier League
Jan 19, 2008 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Bobby Convey 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rio Ferdinand 69'
  • goal Wayne Rooney 77'
  • goal Cristiano Ronaldo 90'

Build-up

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