MX23RW : Monday, April 29 05:36:57| >> :600:635474:635474:
Reading logo
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 7, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Select Car Leasing Stadium
Watford logo

Reading
2 - 0
Watford

Abretti (45+3'), Long (90+3')
Hutchinson (13'), Mbengue (69')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Morris (59'), Adu-Poku (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Reading and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Brom 1-0 Reading
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 0-1 Watford
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Reading 1-2 Watford

With both managers likely to tinker with their squads, this is an even more unpredictable fixture than it may have been with full-strength sides. While Reading will still be confident of registering yet another home win this campaign, we feel that a greater freedom for Watford to express themselves may lead to a narrow away victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 49.07%. A win for Reading had a probability of 25.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.39%) and 0-2 (8.94%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
ReadingDrawWatford
25.59% (0.111 0.11) 25.35% (0.033000000000001 0.03) 49.07% (-0.142 -0.14)
Both teams to score 51.33% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.37% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)51.63% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.58% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)73.41% (0.040000000000006 0.04)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.02% (0.069000000000003 0.07)34.97% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.28% (0.073 0.07)71.72% (-0.071000000000012 -0.07)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.94% (-0.080000000000013 -0.08)21.06% (0.081 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.14% (-0.125 -0.13)53.86% (0.126 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Reading 25.59%
    Watford 49.06%
    Draw 25.34%
ReadingDrawWatford
1-0 @ 7.74% (0.029 0.03)
2-1 @ 6.33% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.06% (0.023 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.22% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.73% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 1.42% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 25.59%
1-1 @ 12.05% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.37% (0.014 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 1%
Total : 25.34%
0-1 @ 11.47% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.39% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.94% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
1-3 @ 4.88% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 4.64% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.56% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.9% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.81% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 49.06%

How you voted: Reading vs Watford

Reading
18.4%
Draw
21.1%
Watford
60.5%
38
Head to Head
Nov 8, 2022 8pm
Watford
2-0
Reading
Pedro (15' pen., 87')
Asprilla (34')
Apr 9, 2021 7.45pm
Watford
2-0
Reading
Sarr (12', 14')
Zinckernagel (17'), Hughes (75'), Success (90+2')

Rinomhota (56')
Oct 3, 2020 3pm
Reading
1-0
Watford
Puscas (41')
Laurent (39'), Richards (62'), Tetek (87')

Wilmot (40'), Pedro (87'), Chalobah (90+4')
Aug 29, 2018 8pm
Second Round
Reading
0-2
Watford

Meite (89')
Success (37'), Quina (62')
Navarro (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
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3Liverpool35229477364175
4Aston Villa35207873522167
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs33186967521560
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd34166125251154
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle341651374551953
8West Ham UnitedWest Ham351310125665-949
9Chelsea33139116359448
10Bournemouth35139135260-848
11Wolverhampton WanderersWolves35137154855-746
12Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton341111125257-544
13Fulham35127165155-443
14Crystal Palace351010154557-1240
15Everton35128153748-1136
16Brentford3598185260-835
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3579194262-2026
18Luton TownLuton3567224877-2925
19Burnley3559213870-3224
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd3537253497-6316


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