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Championship | Gameweek 23
Dec 16, 2022 at 8pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Reading logo

Birmingham
3 - 2
Reading

Deeney (2', 23' pen.), Chong (36')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Joao (82'), Ince (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackpool 0-0 Birmingham
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Reading 1-0 Coventry
Saturday, December 10 at 2pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 43.33%. A win for Reading had a probability of 28.73% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Reading win was 0-1 (10.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawReading
43.33% (0.015999999999998 0.02)27.94% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)28.73% (-0.012 -0.01)
Both teams to score 46.09% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.5% (0.015999999999998 0.02)59.5% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.14% (0.011999999999997 0.01)79.85% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.76% (0.015000000000001 0.02)27.24% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.33% (0.021000000000001 0.02)62.67% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.34%36.66% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.55% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)73.45% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 43.32%
    Reading 28.73%
    Draw 27.94%
Birmingham CityDrawReading
1-0 @ 12.98%
2-1 @ 8.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 8.44% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 3.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 3.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.84% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 43.32%
1-1 @ 13.03%
0-0 @ 9.99% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.25% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 27.94%
0-1 @ 10.02%
1-2 @ 6.54% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 5.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.19% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 1.68% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 28.73%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Reading

Birmingham City
45.7%
Draw
37.0%
Reading
17.3%
81
Head to Head
Feb 22, 2022 8pm
Reading
2-1
Birmingham
Joao (67'), Swift (73' pen.)
McIntyre (82' og.)
Pedersen (31'), Bela (51'), Hernandez (72')
Nov 6, 2021 3.30pm
Birmingham
1-2
Reading
Hogan (3')
Bela (30'), Dean (34'), Oakley (38'), McGree (55')
Clarke (70', 82')
Holmes (76')
Mar 17, 2021 7.45pm
Dec 9, 2020 7.45pm
Reading
1-2
Birmingham
Meite (61')
Meite (90+3')
Toral (29', 37')
Hogan (39'), Dean (67'), Etheridge (80'), Leko (88')
Dean (70')