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Championship | Gameweek 23
Dec 16, 2022 at 8pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Reading logo

Birmingham
3 - 2
Reading

Deeney (2', 23' pen.), Chong (36')
Bielik (43')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Joao (82'), Ince (90+4')
Yiadom (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackpool 0-0 Birmingham
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Reading 1-0 Coventry
Saturday, December 10 at 2pm in Championship

We said: Birmingham City 1-1 Reading

While the race for the playoffs remain as close as ever, both clubs know that they could drop off the pace with a defeat on Friday. With that in mind, do not be surprised to see a low-scoring draw played out at St Andrew's, a result which would suit the visitors far more than their hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 43.33%. A win for Reading had a probability of 28.73% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Reading win was 0-1 (10.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawReading
43.33% (0.015999999999998 0.02) 27.94% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 28.73% (-0.012 -0.01)
Both teams to score 46.09% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.5% (0.015999999999998 0.02)59.5% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.14% (0.011999999999997 0.01)79.85% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.76% (0.015000000000001 0.02)27.24% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.33% (0.021000000000001 0.02)62.67% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.34%36.66% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.55% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)73.45% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 43.32%
    Reading 28.73%
    Draw 27.94%
Birmingham CityDrawReading
1-0 @ 12.98%
2-1 @ 8.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 8.44% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 3.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 3.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.84% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 43.32%
1-1 @ 13.03%
0-0 @ 9.99% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.25% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 27.94%
0-1 @ 10.02%
1-2 @ 6.54% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 5.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.19% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 1.68% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 28.73%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Reading

Birmingham City
45.7%
Draw
37.0%
Reading
17.3%
81
Head to Head
Feb 22, 2022 8pm
Reading
2-1
Birmingham
Joao (67'), Swift (73' pen.)
McIntyre (82' og.)
Pedersen (31'), Bela (51'), Hernandez (72')
Nov 6, 2021 3.30pm
Birmingham
1-2
Reading
Hogan (3')
Bela (30'), Dean (34'), Oakley (38'), McGree (55')
Clarke (70', 82')
Holmes (76')
Mar 17, 2021 7.45pm
Dec 9, 2020 7.45pm
Reading
1-2
Birmingham
Meite (61')
Meite (90+3')
Toral (29', 37')
Hogan (39'), Dean (67'), Etheridge (80'), Leko (88')
Dean (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
2Leeds UnitedLeeds45279980413990
3Ipswich TownIpswich442612688563290
4Southampton452591185622384
5Norwich CityNorwich4521101479631673
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4520121367472072
7Hull City451913136859970
8Middlesbrough45199176861766
9Coventry CityCoventry4417131468551364
10Preston North EndPreston44189175661-563
11Bristol City451711175347662
12Cardiff CityCardiff45195215165-1462
13Swansea CitySwansea451512185964-557
14Watford451317156058256
15Sunderland45168215252056
16Millwall451511194455-1156
17Queens Park RangersQPR451411204557-1253
18Stoke CityStoke451411204560-1553
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn451311215874-1650
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds45148234268-2650
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451212215870-1248
22Birmingham CityBirmingham451211224965-1647
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield45918184875-2745
RRotherham UnitedRotherham45412293287-5524


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