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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 43.33%. A win for Reading had a probability of 28.73% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Reading win was 0-1 (10.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Birmingham City | Draw | Reading |
| 43.33% ( | 27.94% ( | 28.73% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.09% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.5% ( | 59.5% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.14% ( | 79.85% ( |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.76% ( | 27.24% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.33% ( | 62.67% ( |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.34% | 36.66% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.55% ( | 73.45% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Birmingham City | Draw | Reading |
| 1-0 @ 12.98% 2-1 @ 8.47% ( 2-0 @ 8.44% ( 3-1 @ 3.67% ( 3-0 @ 3.66% ( 3-2 @ 1.84% ( 4-1 @ 1.19% ( 4-0 @ 1.19% ( Other @ 1.86% Total : 43.32% | 1-1 @ 13.03% 0-0 @ 9.99% ( 2-2 @ 4.25% ( Other @ 0.67% Total : 27.94% | 0-1 @ 10.02% 1-2 @ 6.54% ( 0-2 @ 5.03% ( 1-3 @ 2.19% ( 0-3 @ 1.68% ( 2-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 1.85% Total : 28.73% |