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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 40.54%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 32.18% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Birmingham City | Draw | Millwall |
| 32.18% ( | 27.28% ( | 40.54% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.4% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.02% ( | 55.98% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.93% ( | 77.07% ( |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.76% ( | 32.24% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.27% ( | 68.73% |
| Millwall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.91% ( | 27.09% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.53% ( | 62.47% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Birmingham City | Draw | Millwall |
| 1-0 @ 9.89% ( 2-1 @ 7.31% ( 2-0 @ 5.6% ( 3-1 @ 2.76% 3-0 @ 2.11% 3-2 @ 1.8% Other @ 2.72% Total : 32.18% | 1-1 @ 12.91% 0-0 @ 8.73% ( 2-2 @ 4.77% Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.28% | 0-1 @ 11.4% 1-2 @ 8.43% 0-2 @ 7.45% ( 1-3 @ 3.67% 0-3 @ 3.24% 2-3 @ 2.08% ( 1-4 @ 1.2% 0-4 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 2.01% Total : 40.54% |