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Championship | Gameweek 17
Oct 22, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Den
West Brom logo

Millwall
2 - 1
West Brom

Styles (38'), Burey (90')
Mitchell (31')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Swift (20')
O'Shea (68'), Bartley (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 3-0 Watford
Wednesday, October 19 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 0-2 Bristol City
Tuesday, October 18 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 3-1 West Bromwich Albion

Although West Brom possess the quality to post a second away win in succession, it is difficult to ignore Millwall's recent run of results. As the only team to have posted maximum points for three matches, we feel that the Lions will extend that streak at the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 39.18%. A win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 30.96% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.82%) and 2-1 (7.57%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 (11.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.

Result
MillwallDrawWest Bromwich Albion
39.18% (0.0040000000000049 0) 29.86% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 30.96% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 41.94% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.93% (0.007000000000005 0.01)65.07% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.06% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)83.94% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.63% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)32.36% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.12% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)68.87% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.01% (0.0010000000000048 0)37.99% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.24% (0.0030000000000001 0)74.75% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 39.17%
    West Bromwich Albion 30.96%
    Draw 29.85%
MillwallDrawWest Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 13.86% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.82% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-1 @ 7.57% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 2.94% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 2.85% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.38%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 39.17%
1-1 @ 13.42%
0-0 @ 12.29%
2-2 @ 3.67% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 29.85%
0-1 @ 11.9%
1-2 @ 6.5%
0-2 @ 5.76% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 2.1%
0-3 @ 1.86% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.18% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 30.96%

How you voted: Millwall vs West Brom

Millwall
76.9%
Draw
5.8%
West Bromwich Albion
17.3%
52
Head to Head
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
West Brom
1-1
Millwall
Bartley (49')
Kipre (20')
Ballard (55')
Mitchell (43'), Wallace (60'), Smith (90+3')
Aug 13, 2019 8pm
Aug 10, 2019 3pm
West Brom
1-1
Millwall
Pearce (57' og.)
Ajayi (67')
Smith (75')
Wallace (62'), Thompson (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Rams
@
49ers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd20135228111742
2Leeds UnitedLeeds20125336142241
3Burnley2010822471738
4Sunderland20107329151437
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn1910452317634
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
7Middlesbrough209473425931
8Watford199462725231
9Swansea CitySwansea207672119227
10Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
11Bristol City206862525026
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds207582329-626
13Millwall196762017325
14Preston North EndPreston2041062026-622
15Luton TownLuton2064102335-1222
16Coventry CityCoventry205692529-421
17Derby CountyDerby205692226-421
18Stoke CityStoke205692126-521
19Queens Park RangersQPR204972026-621
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd194692030-1018
21Portsmouth183872130-917
22Cardiff CityCardiff1945101730-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth1945101940-2117
24Hull City2037101828-1016


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