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Championship | Gameweek 18
Oct 28, 2022 at 8pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
QPR logo

Birmingham
2 - 0
QPR

Trusty (4'), Longelo (29')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Queens Park Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackburn 2-1 Birmingham
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 2-1 Wigan
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 38.7%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 34.29% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawQueens Park Rangers
34.29% (0.088000000000001 0.09)27.01% (-0.035 -0.04)38.7% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)
Both teams to score 50.71% (0.127 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.45% (0.152 0.15)54.55% (-0.15 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.1% (0.127 0.13)75.9% (-0.123 -0.12)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.9% (0.13200000000001 0.13)30.1% (-0.132 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.76% (0.157 0.16)66.24% (-0.155 -0.16)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.55% (0.045000000000002 0.05)27.45% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.07% (0.055 0.05)62.93% (-0.055 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 34.29%
    Queens Park Rangers 38.69%
    Draw 27%
Birmingham CityDrawQueens Park Rangers
1-0 @ 9.92% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.7% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.95% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.08% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.38% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.99% (0.015 0.01)
4-1 @ 0.93% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 34.29%
1-1 @ 12.82% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.26% (-0.049000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.98% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 27%
0-1 @ 10.68% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 8.29% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-2 @ 6.91% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.57% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 2.98% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.15% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 38.69%

How you voted: Birmingham vs QPR

Birmingham City
22.1%
Draw
16.6%
Queens Park Rangers
61.3%
235
Head to Head
Jan 2, 2022 2pm
Birmingham
1-2
QPR
Aneke (75')
Sunjic (88')
Adomah (14'), Willock (71')
Dickie (59'), Amos (74'), Field (88')
Sep 28, 2021 7.45pm
QPR
2-0
Birmingham
Chair (34', 64')
Dozzell (54')

Sunjic (86')
Feb 27, 2021 3pm
Birmingham
2-1
QPR
Pedersen (82'), Halilovic (85')
Pedersen (52'), Halilovic (86'), Roberts (90+6')
Austin (44')
Willock (13'), Bonne (73')
Oct 24, 2020 3pm