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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 38.7%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 34.29% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Birmingham City | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
| 34.29% ( | 27.01% ( | 38.7% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.71% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.45% ( | 54.55% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.1% ( | 75.9% ( |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.9% ( | 30.1% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.76% ( | 66.24% ( |
| Queens Park Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.55% ( | 27.45% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.07% ( | 62.93% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Birmingham City | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
| 1-0 @ 9.92% ( 2-1 @ 7.7% ( 2-0 @ 5.95% ( 3-1 @ 3.08% ( 3-0 @ 2.38% ( 3-2 @ 1.99% ( 4-1 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 2.34% Total : 34.29% | 1-1 @ 12.82% ( 0-0 @ 8.26% ( 2-2 @ 4.98% ( Other @ 0.95% Total : 27% | 0-1 @ 10.68% ( 1-2 @ 8.29% ( 0-2 @ 6.91% ( 1-3 @ 3.57% ( 0-3 @ 2.98% ( 2-3 @ 2.15% ( 1-4 @ 1.16% ( 0-4 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 2.01% Total : 38.69% |