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Championship | Gameweek 16
Oct 19, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Kiyan Prince Foundation Stadium
Cardiff City logo

QPR
3 - 0
Cardiff

Dykes (19' pen., 33'), Paal (74')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Queens Park Rangers and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luton 3-1 QPR
Saturday, October 15 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 0-1 Coventry
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 46.26%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 27% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Queens Park Rangers would win this match.

Result
Queens Park RangersDrawCardiff City
46.26% (0.624 0.62)26.74% (0.204 0.2)27% (-0.826 -0.83)
Both teams to score 48.37% (-1.158 -1.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.95% (-1.218 -1.22)56.04% (1.218 1.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.87% (-0.997 -1)77.12% (0.997 1)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.8% (-0.235 -0.23)24.2% (0.234 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.47% (-0.333 -0.33)58.53% (0.332 0.33)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.82% (-1.325 -1.33)36.18% (1.327 1.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.03% (-1.374 -1.37)72.97% (1.373 1.37)
Score Analysis
    Queens Park Rangers 46.26%
    Cardiff City 27%
    Draw 26.73%
Queens Park RangersDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 12.42% (0.49 0.49)
2-1 @ 8.96% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.81% (0.29 0.29)
3-1 @ 4.24% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
3-0 @ 4.17% (0.109 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.101 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.5% (-0.025 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.48% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 46.26%
1-1 @ 12.62% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 8.75% (0.402 0.4)
2-2 @ 4.56% (-0.18 -0.18)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 26.73%
0-1 @ 8.9% (0.098000000000001 0.1)
1-2 @ 6.42% (-0.209 -0.21)
0-2 @ 4.52% (-0.115 -0.12)
1-3 @ 2.18% (-0.153 -0.15)
2-3 @ 1.54% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-3 @ 1.53% (-0.097 -0.1)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 27%

How you voted: QPR vs Cardiff

Queens Park Rangers
61.9%
Draw
19.0%
Cardiff City
19.0%
21
Head to Head
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
QPR
1-2
Cardiff
Gray (38')
Dickie (73')
Davies (70'), Colwill (74')
Nov 3, 2021 7.45pm
Cardiff
0-1
QPR
Gray (37')
Dickie (47'), Adomah (85')
Jan 20, 2021 7pm
Cardiff
0-1
QPR
Willock (71')
Barbet (36'), Cameron (48'), Chair (89')
Oct 31, 2020 3pm
QPR
3-2
Cardiff
Chair (15'), Kane (27'), Ball (90+1')
Chair (15'), Cameron (31'), Kane (45+2'), Barbet (48')
Ralls (49' pen., 85')
Ralls (22'), Bacuna (38'), Tomlin (75')
Jan 1, 2020 3pm
QPR
6-1
Cardiff
Wells (9', 48', 64'), Osayi-Samuel (27', 41'), Eze (57')
Leistner (39'), Amos (86')
Vaulks (91')
Tomlin (32')