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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 46.26%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 27% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Queens Park Rangers would win this match.
Result | ||
Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Cardiff City |
46.26% ( 0.62) | 26.74% ( 0.2) | 27% ( -0.83) |
Both teams to score 48.37% ( -1.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.95% ( -1.22) | 56.04% ( 1.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.87% ( -1) | 77.12% ( 1) |
Queens Park Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.8% ( -0.23) | 24.2% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.47% ( -0.33) | 58.53% ( 0.33) |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.82% ( -1.33) | 36.18% ( 1.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.03% ( -1.37) | 72.97% ( 1.37) |
Score Analysis |
Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Cardiff City |
1-0 @ 12.42% ( 0.49) 2-1 @ 8.96% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.81% ( 0.29) 3-1 @ 4.24% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.52% Total : 46.26% | 1-1 @ 12.62% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.75% ( 0.4) 2-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.18) Other @ 0.8% Total : 26.73% | 0-1 @ 8.9% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.21) 0-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.1) Other @ 1.91% Total : 27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 42 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 36 | 14 | 22 | 41 |
3 | Burnley | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 24 | 7 | 17 | 38 |
4 | Sunderland | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 37 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 34 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 20 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 32 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 34 | 25 | 9 | 31 |
8 | Watford | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 31 |
9 | Swansea CitySwansea | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 27 |
10 | Norwich CityNorwich | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 26 |
11 | Bristol City | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 26 |
12 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 25 |
14 | Preston North EndPreston | 20 | 4 | 10 | 6 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 22 |
15 | Luton TownLuton | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 22 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 21 |
17 | Derby CountyDerby | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 21 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 21 |
19 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 21 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 18 |
21 | Portsmouth | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 17 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 17 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 40 | -21 | 17 |
24 | Hull City | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 16 |
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