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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 46.26%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 27% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Queens Park Rangers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Cardiff City |
| 46.26% ( | 26.74% ( | 27% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.37% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.95% ( | 56.04% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.87% ( | 77.12% ( |
| Queens Park Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.8% ( | 24.2% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.47% ( | 58.53% ( |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.82% ( | 36.18% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.03% ( | 72.97% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Cardiff City |
| 1-0 @ 12.42% ( 2-1 @ 8.96% ( 2-0 @ 8.81% ( 3-1 @ 4.24% ( 3-0 @ 4.17% ( 3-2 @ 2.15% ( 4-1 @ 1.5% ( 4-0 @ 1.48% ( Other @ 2.52% Total : 46.26% | 1-1 @ 12.62% ( 0-0 @ 8.75% ( 2-2 @ 4.56% ( Other @ 0.8% Total : 26.73% | 0-1 @ 8.9% ( 1-2 @ 6.42% ( 0-2 @ 4.52% ( 1-3 @ 2.18% ( 2-3 @ 1.54% ( 0-3 @ 1.53% ( Other @ 1.91% Total : 27% |