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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 42.3%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 31.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Birmingham City | Draw | Swansea City |
| 31.39% ( | 26.3% ( | 42.3% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.12% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.61% ( | 52.38% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.93% ( | 74.06% ( |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.05% ( | 30.94% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.75% ( | 67.24% ( |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.47% ( | 24.52% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.01% ( | 58.98% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Birmingham City | Draw | Swansea City |
| 1-0 @ 8.9% ( 2-1 @ 7.34% ( 2-0 @ 5.22% ( 3-1 @ 2.87% ( 3-0 @ 2.04% ( 3-2 @ 2.02% ( Other @ 3% Total : 31.39% | 1-1 @ 12.51% ( 0-0 @ 7.59% ( 2-2 @ 5.16% ( 3-3 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.3% | 0-1 @ 10.66% ( 1-2 @ 8.79% ( 0-2 @ 7.5% ( 1-3 @ 4.12% ( 0-3 @ 3.51% ( 2-3 @ 2.42% ( 1-4 @ 1.45% ( 0-4 @ 1.23% ( Other @ 2.62% Total : 42.3% |