Birmingham logo
Blackburn logo
Bristol City
Charlton Athletic
Coventry City
Derby logo
Hull logo
Ipswich logo
Leicester logo
Middlesbrough logo
Millwall logo
Norwich logo
Oxford United
Portsmouth
Preston North End logo
QPR logo
Sheffield United logo
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Southampton logo
Stoke logo
Swansea logo
Watford logo
West Brom logo
Wrexham AFC
Birmingham logo
Championship | Gameweek 9
Nov 8, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Swansea logo

Birmingham
2 - 2
Swansea

Hogan (12'), Deeney (89')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Ntcham (30'), Grimes (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 1-2 Birmingham
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 2-2 Wigan
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 42.3%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 31.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawSwansea City
31.39% (-1.193 -1.19)26.3% (0.010999999999999 0.01)42.3% (1.174 1.17)
Both teams to score 52.12% (-0.47300000000001 -0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.61% (-0.412 -0.41)52.38% (0.404 0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.93% (-0.356 -0.36)74.06% (0.349 0.35)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.05% (-1.016 -1.02)30.94% (1.008 1.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.75% (-1.206 -1.21)67.24% (1.198 1.2)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.47% (0.41499999999999 0.41)24.52% (-0.422 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.01% (0.583 0.58)58.98% (-0.591 -0.59)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 31.39%
    Swansea City 42.3%
    Draw 26.3%
Birmingham CityDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 8.9% (-0.105 -0.11)
2-1 @ 7.34% (-0.205 -0.21)
2-0 @ 5.22% (-0.211 -0.21)
3-1 @ 2.87% (-0.163 -0.16)
3-0 @ 2.04% (-0.142 -0.14)
3-2 @ 2.02% (-0.089 -0.09)
Other @ 3%
Total : 31.39%
1-1 @ 12.51% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.59% (0.121 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.16% (-0.079 -0.08)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.3%
0-1 @ 10.66% (0.3 0.3)
1-2 @ 8.79% (0.11 0.11)
0-2 @ 7.5% (0.297 0.3)
1-3 @ 4.12% (0.101 0.1)
0-3 @ 3.51% (0.181 0.18)
2-3 @ 2.42% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.45% (0.053 0.05)
0-4 @ 1.23% (0.077 0.08)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 42.3%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Swansea

Birmingham City
57.4%
Draw
19.4%
Swansea City
23.3%
129
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Birmingham
2-1
Swansea
Deeney (47'), McGree (82')
Gardner (53'), McGree (90+3')
Obafemi (77')
Bennett (52')
Apr 2, 2021 8pm
Birmingham
1-0
Swansea
Hogan (90+1' pen.)
Seddon (45+1')
Jul 8, 2020 6pm