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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 42.3%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 31.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Birmingham City | Draw | Swansea City |
31.39% ( -1.19) | 26.3% ( 0.01) | 42.3% ( 1.17) |
Both teams to score 52.12% ( -0.47) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.61% ( -0.41) | 52.38% ( 0.4) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.93% ( -0.36) | 74.06% ( 0.35) |
Birmingham City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.05% ( -1.02) | 30.94% ( 1.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.75% ( -1.21) | 67.24% ( 1.2) |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.47% ( 0.41) | 24.52% ( -0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.01% ( 0.58) | 58.98% ( -0.59) |
Score Analysis |
Birmingham City | Draw | Swansea City |
1-0 @ 8.9% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 7.34% ( -0.21) 2-0 @ 5.22% ( -0.21) 3-1 @ 2.87% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.09) Other @ 3% Total : 31.39% | 1-1 @ 12.51% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.59% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.3% | 0-1 @ 10.66% ( 0.3) 1-2 @ 8.79% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 7.5% ( 0.3) 1-3 @ 4.12% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 3.51% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.62% Total : 42.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 42 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 42 |
3 | Burnley | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 24 | 7 | 17 | 38 |
4 | Sunderland | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 37 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 34 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 20 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 32 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 34 | 25 | 9 | 31 |
8 | Watford | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 31 |
9 | Swansea CitySwansea | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 27 |
10 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 26 |
12 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 25 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Coventry CityCoventry | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 24 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 21 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
17 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 22 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 21 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 18 |
21 | Portsmouth | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 17 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 17 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 40 | -21 | 17 |
24 | Hull City | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 16 |
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