Championship Gameweek 9
Nov 8, 2022 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT St. Andrew's Stadium
  • Scott Hogan 12' goal
  • Troy Deeney 89' goal
  • goal Olivier Ntcham 30'
  • goal Matt Grimes 45'+2'

Birmingham City vs Swansea City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Birmingham City

All competitions
Last game
Nov 5, 2022 3.00pm
Stoke 1 - 2 Birmingham
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Scott Hogan

Swansea City

All competitions
Last game
Nov 5, 2022 3.00pm
Swansea 2 - 2 Wigan
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Joel Piroe

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 42.3%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 31.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result

Birmingham City 31.39% (-1.20)
Draw 26.3% (+0.02)
Swansea City 42.3% (+1.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.12% (-0.48)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.61% (-0.42)
Under 2.5 52.38% (+0.41)
Over 3.5 25.93% (-0.36)
Under 3.5 74.06% (+0.35)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5 69.05% (-1.02)
Under 0.5 30.94% (+1.01)
Over 1.5 32.75% (-1.21)
Under 1.5 67.24% (+1.20)

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5 75.47% (+0.42)
Under 0.5 24.52% (-0.43)
Over 1.5 41.01% (+0.59)
Under 1.5 58.98% (-0.60)

Score analysis

Birmingham City 31.39%
Draw 26.3%
Swansea City 42.3%
Birmingham City
1-0 @ 8.9% (-0.11)
2-1 @ 7.34% (-0.21)
2-0 @ 5.22% (-0.22)
3-1 @ 2.87% (-0.17)
3-0 @ 2.04% (-0.15)
3-2 @ 2.02% (-0.09)
Other @ 3%
Total : 31.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.51% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.59% (+0.13)
2-2 @ 5.16% (-0.08)
Other @ 1.05%
Total : 26.3%
Swansea City
0-1 @ 10.66% (+0.31)
1-2 @ 8.79% (+0.11)
0-2 @ 7.5% (+0.30)
1-3 @ 4.12% (+0.11)
0-3 @ 3.51% (+0.19)
2-3 @ 2.42% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.45% (+0.06)
0-4 @ 1.23% (+0.08)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 42.3%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 39
Mar 19, 2022 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Championship Gameweek 14
Oct 23, 2021 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Troy Deeney 47' goal
  • Gary Gardner 53' yellowcard
  • Riley McGree 82' goal
  • Riley McGree 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ryan Bennett 52'
  • goal Michael Obafemi 77'
Championship Gameweek 39
Apr 2, 2021 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT St. Andrew's Stadium
  • Steve Seddon 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Scott Hogan 90'+1' goal
Championship Gameweek 2
Sep 19, 2020 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Liberty Stadium
  • yellowcard Harlee Dean 11'
Championship Gameweek 42
Jul 8, 2020 6.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT St. Andrew's Stadium
  • Lukas Jutkiewicz 5' goal
  • Marc Roberts 54' yellowcard
  • Gary Gardner 72' yellowcard
  • goal Rhian Brewster 12'
  • goal Ben Cabango 45'
  • goal Jay Fulton 52'
  • yellowcard Jay Fulton 71'
  • yellowcard Marc Guehi 85'
  • yellowcard Kyle Naughton 90'+1'
Championship Gameweek 5
Aug 25, 2019 12.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Kyle Naughton 63' goal
  • Bersant Celina 68' goal
  • Borja Baston 75' goal
  • Yan Dhanda 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard David Davis 49'
  • yellowcard Kristian Pedersen 60'
  • yellowcard Steve Seddon 73'
  • yellowcard Ivan Sunjic 89'
  • yellowcard Jude Bellingham 94'

Build-up

Match Preview