Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 44.27%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 29.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.