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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 37.52%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 34.19% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.86%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (11.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wigan Athletic | Draw | Stoke City |
| 37.52% ( | 28.29% ( | 34.19% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.83% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.61% ( | 59.39% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.23% ( | 79.77% ( |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.51% ( | 30.49% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.29% ( | 66.71% ( |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.38% ( | 32.62% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.84% ( | 69.16% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Wigan Athletic | Draw | Stoke City |
| 1-0 @ 11.81% ( 2-1 @ 7.86% ( 2-0 @ 7.02% ( 3-1 @ 3.11% ( 3-0 @ 2.78% ( 3-2 @ 1.74% ( 4-1 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 2.28% Total : 37.51% | 1-1 @ 13.23% ( 0-0 @ 9.95% ( 2-2 @ 4.4% ( Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.29% | 0-1 @ 11.14% 1-2 @ 7.41% ( 0-2 @ 6.24% ( 1-3 @ 2.77% ( 0-3 @ 2.33% ( 2-3 @ 1.64% ( Other @ 2.65% Total : 34.19% |