We said: Wigan Athletic 1-1 Stoke City
Given their recent losing streaks, this could prove to be a war of attrition with confidence getting lower by the game. On this occasion, we feel that a low-scoring share of the spoils is the most likely result, an outcome which would not suit either club.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 37.52%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 34.19% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.86%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (11.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.