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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 43.15%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 30.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 0-1 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stoke City | Draw | Coventry City |
| 43.15% ( | 26.15% ( | 30.7% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.33% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.02% ( | 51.98% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.28% ( | 73.72% ( |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.08% ( | 23.92% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.86% ( | 58.14% ( |
| Coventry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.78% ( | 31.22% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.44% ( | 67.56% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Stoke City | Draw | Coventry City |
| 1-0 @ 10.68% ( 2-1 @ 8.89% ( 2-0 @ 7.64% 3-1 @ 4.24% ( 3-0 @ 3.64% ( 3-2 @ 2.47% ( 4-1 @ 1.52% ( 4-0 @ 1.3% ( Other @ 2.77% Total : 43.15% | 1-1 @ 12.43% 0-0 @ 7.47% ( 2-2 @ 5.18% ( 3-3 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.14% | 0-1 @ 8.69% ( 1-2 @ 7.24% 0-2 @ 5.06% ( 1-3 @ 2.81% ( 2-3 @ 2.01% ( 0-3 @ 1.96% ( Other @ 2.93% Total : 30.71% |