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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 35.1%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 33.63% and a draw had a probability of 31.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.96%) and 1-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 1-0 (13.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Coventry City | Draw | Stoke City |
| 33.63% | 31.27% | 35.1% |
| Both teams to score 38.91% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 31.13% | 68.87% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.49% | 86.51% |
| Coventry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.86% | 38.14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.1% | 74.9% |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.9% | 37.1% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.12% | 73.88% |
| Score Analysis |
| Coventry City | Draw | Stoke City |
| 1-0 @ 13.63% 2-0 @ 6.57% 2-1 @ 6.52% 3-0 @ 2.11% 3-1 @ 2.09% 3-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.66% Total : 33.63% | 0-0 @ 14.14% 1-1 @ 13.52% 2-2 @ 3.23% Other @ 0.37% Total : 31.26% | 0-1 @ 14.03% 0-2 @ 6.96% 1-2 @ 6.71% 0-3 @ 2.3% 1-3 @ 2.22% 2-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.82% Total : 35.1% |