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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 38.4%. A win for Watford had a probability of 34.11% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (10.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wigan Athletic | Draw | Watford |
| 38.4% ( | 27.49% ( | 34.11% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.22% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.59% ( | 56.41% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.58% ( | 77.43% ( |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.49% ( | 28.51% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.72% ( | 64.28% ( |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.85% ( | 31.15% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.52% ( | 67.48% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Wigan Athletic | Draw | Watford |
| 1-0 @ 11.14% ( 2-1 @ 8.16% ( 2-0 @ 6.99% ( 3-1 @ 3.41% ( 3-0 @ 2.93% ( 3-2 @ 1.99% ( 4-1 @ 1.07% ( 4-0 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 1.79% Total : 38.4% | 1-1 @ 12.99% ( 0-0 @ 8.88% ( 2-2 @ 4.76% ( Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.48% | 0-1 @ 10.35% ( 1-2 @ 7.58% ( 0-2 @ 6.04% ( 1-3 @ 2.95% ( 0-3 @ 2.35% ( 2-3 @ 1.85% ( Other @ 2.99% Total : 34.11% |