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/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Flutlog.png)
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Keinan Davis
3'
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William Troost-Ekong
45'
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Joao Pedro
57'
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Ismaila Sarr
79'
Watford vs Luton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 38.85%. A win for Watford had a probability of 33.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-0 (10.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.
Result
Watford
33.67%
▲
(+0.17)
Draw
27.48%
▼
(-0.09)
Luton Town
38.85%
▼
(-0.08)
Both Teams to Score:
49.17%
▲
(+0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5
43.56%
▲
(+0.38)
Under 2.5
56.45%
▼
(-0.37)
Over 3.5
22.55%
▲
(+0.30)
Under 3.5
77.45%
▼
(-0.30)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5
68.54%
▲
(+0.30)
Under 0.5
31.46%
▼
(-0.31)
Over 1.5
32.16%
▲
(+0.35)
Under 1.5
67.84%
▼
(-0.35)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5
71.74%
▲
(+0.14)
Under 0.5
28.26%
▼
(-0.14)
Over 1.5
36.03%
▲
(+0.17)
Under 1.5
63.97%
▼
(-0.17)
Score analysis
Watford
33.67%
Draw
27.47%
Luton Town
38.85%
Watford
1-0
@
10.28%
▼
(-0.07)
2-1 @ 7.51% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 5.95% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 2.9% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 2.29% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.83% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 33.67%
2-1 @ 7.51% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 5.95% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 2.9% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 2.29% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.83% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 33.67%
Draw
1-1
@
12.99%
▼
(-0.03)
0-0 @ 8.89% ▼ (-0.13)
2-2 @ 4.75% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 27.47%
0-0 @ 8.89% ▼ (-0.13)
2-2 @ 4.75% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 27.47%
Luton Town
0-1
@
11.23%
▼
(-0.12)
1-2 @ 8.21% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 7.1% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 3.46% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.99% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2% ▲ (+0.03)
1-4 @ 1.09% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 38.85%
1-2 @ 8.21% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 7.1% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 3.46% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.99% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2% ▲ (+0.03)
1-4 @ 1.09% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 38.85%
Kiko Femenia
88'