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Championship | Gameweek 18
Oct 29, 2022 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
Stoke logo

Norwich
3 - 1
Stoke

Ramsey (38', 71'), Sara (77')
Dowell (19'), Hernandez (45+2'), McCallum (59'), Hayden (62'), Byram (66'), Hanley (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Powell (90+2')
Gayle (32'), Laurent (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burnley 1-0 Norwich
Tuesday, October 25 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 0-2 Coventry
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 1-1 Stoke City

Stoke's inconsistency means that you struggle to predict their every move, and the same applies here as they make the long trip to East Anglia. However, they rarely lose three on the bounce, and we feel that they will do enough to earn a share of the spoils against opponents with a manager under increasing pressure. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 48.42%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 26.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawStoke City
48.42% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 25.39% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 26.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 51.72% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.62% (0.030000000000001 0.03)51.37% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.81% (0.026 0.03)73.19% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.77% (0.015000000000001 0.02)21.23% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.87% (0.024999999999999 0.02)54.13% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.66% (0.015000000000001 0.02)34.33% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.96% (0.018000000000001 0.02)71.04% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 48.42%
    Stoke City 26.18%
    Draw 25.38%
Norwich CityDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 11.29% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.36% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 8.75% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 4.83% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-0 @ 4.52% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.87% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.75% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 48.42%
1-1 @ 12.07% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.29% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.38%
0-1 @ 7.79% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.46% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.17% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.3% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.78% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 26.18%

How you voted: Norwich vs Stoke

Norwich City
57.6%
Draw
24.2%
Stoke City
18.2%
33
Head to Head
Feb 13, 2021 3pm
Norwich
4-1
Stoke
Cantwell (15'), Pukki (44', 80' pen.), Buendia (64')
Powell (61')
Powell (42'), Obi Mikel (43')
Nov 24, 2020 7pm
Stoke
2-3
Norwich
Campbell (70'), Collins (79')
Batth (18'), Fletcher (28')
Buendia (18'), Pukki (27', 57')
Stiepermann (23'), Hanley (58'), Buendia (64')
Buendia (69')
Apr 22, 2019 3pm
Oct 6, 2018 3pm
Jan 13, 2016 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd20135228111742
2Leeds UnitedLeeds20125336142241
3Burnley2010822471738
4Sunderland20107329151437
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn1910452317634
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
7Middlesbrough209473425931
8Watford199462725231
9Swansea CitySwansea207672119227
10Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
11Bristol City206862525026
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds207582329-626
13Millwall196762017325
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Preston North EndPreston2041062026-622
16Luton TownLuton2064102335-1222
17Coventry CityCoventry205692529-421
18Stoke CityStoke205692126-521
19Queens Park RangersQPR204972026-621
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd194692030-1018
21Portsmouth193882134-1317
22Cardiff CityCardiff1945101730-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth1945101940-2117
24Hull City2037101828-1016


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