Championship

Championship | Gameweek 18

Oct 29, 2022 at 3pm UK

Carrow Road

Norwich
3 - 1
Stoke

Ramsey (38', 71'), Sara (77')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Powell (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Norwich City

All competitions

Last Game: Burnley 1-0 Norwich
Tuesday, October 25 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Stoke City

All competitions

Last Game: Stoke 0-2 Coventry
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 48.42%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 26.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.

Result
Norwich City	Draw	Stoke City
48.42% ( 0.01)	25.39% ( -0.01)	26.18% ( -0)

Both teams to score 51.72% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.62% (

0.03)

51.37% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.81% (

0.03)

73.19% (

-0.03)

Norwich City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.77% (

0.02)

21.23% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.87% (

0.02)

54.13% (

-0.02)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.66% (

0.02)

34.33% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.96% (

0.02)

71.04% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Norwich City 48.42%

Stoke City 26.18%

Draw 25.38%

Norwich City	Draw	Stoke City
1-0 @ 11.29% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.36% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.75% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.83% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.52% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.87% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.75% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 2.45% Total : 48.42%	1-1 @ 12.07% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.29% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.38%	0-1 @ 7.79% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.46% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.17% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.3% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.21% Total : 26.18%