Championship Gameweek 17
Oct 23, 2022 12.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Swansea.com Stadium
  • Oliver Cooper 38' goal
  • Michael Obafemi 67' goal

Swansea City vs Cardiff City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Swansea City

All competitions
Last game
Oct 18, 2022 7.45pm
Swansea 3 - 2 Reading
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Joel Piroe

Cardiff City

All competitions
Last game
Oct 19, 2022 7.45pm
QPR 3 - 0 Cardiff
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Sory Kaba

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 51.06%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 23.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.68%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (7.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.

Result

Swansea City 51.06% (+0.09)
Draw 25.4% (-0.07)
Cardiff City 23.54% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.14% (+0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.49% (+0.22)
Under 2.5 53.5% (-0.21)
Over 3.5 24.97% (+0.18)
Under 3.5 75.02% (-0.18)

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5 79.02% (+0.13)
Under 0.5 20.97% (-0.13)
Over 1.5 46.26% (+0.19)
Under 1.5 53.73% (-0.19)

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5 62.18% (+0.10)
Under 0.5 37.82% (-0.10)
Over 1.5 25.4% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 74.59% (-0.10)

Score analysis

Swansea City 51.05%
Draw 25.39%
Cardiff City 23.54%
Swansea City
1-0 @ 12.38% (-0.06)
2-0 @ 9.68% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.41% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 5.04% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.9% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.38% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.97% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.91% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 51.05%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.04% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 7.93% (-0.07)
2-2 @ 4.57% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 25.39%
Cardiff City
0-1 @ 7.71% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 5.86% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.75% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.9% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.48% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.22% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 23.54%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 40
Apr 2, 2022 3.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Tommy Doyle 39' yellowcard
  • Joe Ralls 80' yellowcard
  • goal Michael Obafemi 6'
  • yellowcard Hannes Wolf 29'
  • goal Ben Cabango 57'
  • yellowcard Andy Fisher 59'
  • yellowcard Flynn Downes 69'
  • goal Hannes Wolf 78'
  • yellowcard Joel Piroe 80'
  • goal Michael Obafemi 82'
Championship Gameweek 12
Oct 17, 2021 12.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jamie Paterson 29' goal
  • Joel Piroe 60' goal
  • Ryan Manning 63' yellowcard
  • Jake Bidwell 74' goal
  • yellowcard Leandro Bacuna 26'
  • yellowcard Will Vaulks 90'+1'
Championship Gameweek 38
Mar 20, 2021 5.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Liberty Stadium
  • goal Aden Flint 8'
  • yellowcard Sean Morrison 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Will Vaulks 81'
  • yellowcard Ciaron Brown 90'+1'
Championship Gameweek 18
Dec 12, 2020 12.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Cardiff City Stadium
  • Sean Morrison 18' yellowcard
  • Kieffer Moore 35' yellowcard
  • Joe Ralls 46' yellowcard
  • Joe Ralls 67' redcard
  • goal Jamal Lowe 6'
  • yellowcard Ryan Bennett 14'
  • yellowcard Marc Guehi 35'
  • goal Jamal Lowe 72'
Championship Gameweek 27
Jan 12, 2020 12.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Junior Hoilett 30' yellowcard
  • Robert Glatzel 34' yellowcard
  • Marlon Pack 63' yellowcard
  • Joe Bennett 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rhian Brewster 11'
  • yellowcard Ben Cabango 34'
Championship Gameweek 14
Oct 27, 2019 12.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Ben Wilmot 24' goal
  • yellowcard Joe Ralls 85'