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Championship | Gameweek 20
Nov 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Birmingham logo

Stoke
1 - 2
Birmingham

Baker (75' pen.)
Sterling (9'), Thompson (57'), Fox (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Hogan (13'), Dean (67')
Jutkiewicz (8'), Bielik (31'), Chong (75'), Sanderson (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wigan 0-1 Stoke
Wednesday, November 2 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 0-0 Millwall
Wednesday, November 2 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 1-1 Birmingham City

Stoke are enduring an indifferent start to their Championship campaign and will be looking to improve their home form in order to climb up the standings, starting with a positive result against Birmingham. Birmingham have been a hard nut to crack for most opponents so far this season and will be confident in collecting at least a point on their travels this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 49.36%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 24.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (8.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Stoke CityDrawBirmingham City
49.36% (0.118 0.12) 26.48% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 24.16% (-0.116 -0.12)
Both teams to score 46.74% (-0.101 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.04% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)56.96% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.14% (-0.058 -0.06)77.86% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.85% (0.022000000000006 0.02)23.15% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.98% (0.031999999999996 0.03)57.02% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.83% (-0.147 -0.15)39.17% (0.149 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.12% (-0.136 -0.14)75.89% (0.13800000000001 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 49.36%
    Birmingham City 24.16%
    Draw 26.47%
Stoke CityDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 13.26% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 9.71% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.1%
3-0 @ 4.73% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.08% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.73% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.62% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 49.36%
1-1 @ 12.43% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.07% (0.026000000000002 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.26% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 26.47%
0-1 @ 8.5% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.83% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.98% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.82% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.33% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.24% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 24.16%

How you voted: Stoke vs Birmingham

Stoke City
46.9%
Draw
40.6%
Birmingham City
12.5%
32
Head to Head
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Apr 10, 2021 3pm
Oct 4, 2020 3pm
Stoke
1-1
Birmingham
Powell (86')
Chester (56'), Fox (83'), Clucas (85')
Dean (65')
Clayton (87')
Jul 12, 2020 1.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds20125336142241
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd19125227111639
3Burnley2010822471738
4Sunderland20107329151437
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn1910452317634
6Middlesbrough209473425931
7Watford189362624230
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom1961122114729
9Swansea CitySwansea207672119227
10Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
11Bristol City206862525026
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds207582329-626
13Millwall186752016425
14Luton TownLuton2064102335-1222
15Coventry CityCoventry195682527-221
16Derby CountyDerby205692226-421
17Stoke CityStoke205692126-521
18Preston North EndPreston1931061826-819
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd184682028-818
20Queens Park RangersQPR193971826-818
21Portsmouth183872130-917
22Cardiff CityCardiff184591728-1117
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth1945101940-2117
24Hull City1936101727-1015


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