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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 49.36%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 24.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (8.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Stoke City | Draw | Birmingham City |
49.36% ( 0.12) | 26.48% ( -0) | 24.16% ( -0.12) |
Both teams to score 46.74% ( -0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.04% ( -0.07) | 56.96% ( 0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.14% ( -0.06) | 77.86% ( 0.06) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.85% ( 0.02) | 23.15% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.98% ( 0.03) | 57.02% ( -0.03) |
Birmingham City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.83% ( -0.15) | 39.17% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.12% ( -0.14) | 75.89% ( 0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Stoke City | Draw | Birmingham City |
1-0 @ 13.26% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.71% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.1% 3-0 @ 4.73% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.44% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.62% ( 0) Other @ 2.69% Total : 49.36% | 1-1 @ 12.43% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.07% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.71% Total : 26.47% | 0-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.46% Total : 24.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 36 | 14 | 22 | 41 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 27 | 11 | 16 | 39 |
3 | Burnley | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 24 | 7 | 17 | 38 |
4 | Sunderland | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 37 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 34 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 34 | 25 | 9 | 31 |
7 | Watford | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 30 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 19 | 6 | 11 | 2 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 29 |
9 | Swansea CitySwansea | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 27 |
10 | Norwich CityNorwich | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 26 |
11 | Bristol City | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 26 |
12 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 25 |
14 | Luton TownLuton | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 22 |
15 | Coventry CityCoventry | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 21 |
16 | Derby CountyDerby | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 21 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 21 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 19 | 3 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
19 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 18 |
20 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
21 | Portsmouth | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 17 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 40 | -21 | 17 |
24 | Hull City | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 15 |
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