Championship

Championship | Gameweek 20

Nov 5, 2022 at 3pm UK

Bet365 Stadium

Stoke
1 - 2
Birmingham

Baker (75' pen.)

FT(HT: 0-1)

Hogan (13'), Dean (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stoke City

All competitions

Last Game: Wigan 0-1 Stoke
Wednesday, November 2 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Birmingham City

All competitions

Last Game: Birmingham 0-0 Millwall
Wednesday, November 2 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 49.36%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 24.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (8.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Stoke City	Draw	Birmingham City
49.36% ( 0.12)	26.48% ( -0)	24.16% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 46.74% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.04% (

-0.07)

56.96% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.14% (

-0.06)

77.86% (

0.06)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.85% (

0.02)

23.15% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.98% (

0.03)

57.02% (

-0.03)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.83% (

-0.15)

39.17% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.12% (

-0.14)

75.89% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Stoke City 49.36%

Birmingham City 24.16%

Draw 26.47%

Stoke City	Draw	Birmingham City
1-0 @ 13.26% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.71% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.1% 3-0 @ 4.73% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.44% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.62% ( 0) Other @ 2.69% Total : 49.36%	1-1 @ 12.43% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.07% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.71% Total : 26.47%	0-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.46% Total : 24.16%