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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 63.58%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Reading had a probability of 14.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.51%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Luton Town | Draw | Reading |
63.58% ( 0.02) | 21.72% ( -0.02) | 14.7% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 45.34% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.16% ( 0.07) | 50.84% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.27% ( 0.06) | 72.73% ( -0.07) |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.63% ( 0.03) | 15.37% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.85% ( 0.06) | 44.15% ( -0.06) |
Reading Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.57% ( 0.04) | 46.43% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.95% ( 0.03) | 82.05% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Luton Town | Draw | Reading |
1-0 @ 13.36% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 12.51% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.81% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.99% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.66% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.81% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.37% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 2.04% Total : 63.58% | 1-1 @ 10.25% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.14% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.68% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.64% Total : 21.71% | 0-1 @ 5.48% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.93% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.1% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.01% ( 0) 2-3 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 1.24% Total : 14.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 42 |
3 | Sunderland | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 40 |
4 | Burnley | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 24 | 7 | 17 | 38 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 34 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 20 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 32 |
8 | Watford | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 31 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 29 |
10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 27 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 25 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Coventry CityCoventry | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 24 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 21 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 22 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 18 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 18 |
22 | Portsmouth | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 17 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 42 | -23 | 17 |
24 | Hull City | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 16 |
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