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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 63.58%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Reading had a probability of 14.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.51%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Luton Town | Draw | Reading |
| 63.58% ( | 21.72% ( | 14.7% ( |
| Both teams to score 45.34% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.16% ( | 50.84% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.27% ( | 72.73% ( |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.63% ( | 15.37% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.85% ( | 44.15% ( |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.57% ( | 46.43% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.95% ( | 82.05% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Luton Town | Draw | Reading |
| 1-0 @ 13.36% ( 2-0 @ 12.51% ( 2-1 @ 9.6% ( 3-0 @ 7.81% ( 3-1 @ 5.99% ( 4-0 @ 3.66% ( 4-1 @ 2.81% ( 3-2 @ 2.3% ( 5-0 @ 1.37% ( 4-2 @ 1.08% ( 5-1 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 2.04% Total : 63.58% | 1-1 @ 10.25% ( 0-0 @ 7.14% ( 2-2 @ 3.68% ( Other @ 0.64% Total : 21.71% | 0-1 @ 5.48% ( 1-2 @ 3.93% ( 0-2 @ 2.1% ( 1-3 @ 1.01% ( 2-3 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 1.24% Total : 14.7% |