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Championship header 2

Championship

Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 18
Oct 29, 2022 at 3pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Sunderland

Luton
1 - 1
Sunderland

Morris (45+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Embleton (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Luton Town

All competitions
Last Game: Watford 4-0 Luton
Sunday, October 23 at 12pm in Championship

Sunderland

All competitions
Last Game: Sunderland 2-4 Burnley
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 47.47%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 26.52% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 0-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawSunderland
47.47% (-0.128 -0.13)26.01% (0.038 0.04)26.52% (0.093 0.09)
Both teams to score 50.14% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.42% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)53.58% (0.086000000000006 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.92% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)75.08% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.43% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)22.57% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.84% (-0.13999999999999 -0.14)56.16% (0.143 0.14)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.75% (0.032000000000011 0.03)35.25% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28% (0.032999999999998 0.03)72% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 47.47%
    Sunderland 26.52%
    Draw 26%
Luton TownDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 11.84% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.19% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.81% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.56% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.37% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.38% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.7% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.63% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 47.47%
1-1 @ 12.34% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.95% (0.027 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.79% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26%
0-1 @ 8.3% (0.035 0.04)
1-2 @ 6.44% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.33% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.24% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.67%
0-3 @ 1.5% (0.0079999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 26.52%

How you voted: Luton vs Sunderland

Luton Town
50.0%
Draw
38.2%
Sunderland
11.8%
34
Head to Head
Jan 12, 2019 3pm
Sunderland
1-1
Luton
Maguire (16')
Flanagan (45'), James (75')
Maguire (90')
Collins (67' pen.)
Lee (45'), Shinnie (62'), Collins (80'), McCormack (90')
Hylton (70')
Aug 11, 2018 3pm
Luton
1-1
Sunderland
Pearson (68')
McCormack (56'), Grant (60')
Maja (45')
Matthews (20'), Baldwin (61'), Loovens (90')
May 6, 2007 3pm
Luton
0-5
Sunderland

Coyne (43'), Idrizaj (45'), Keane (85'), Brkovic (89')
Murphy (6', 46'), Stokes (4')
Stokes (26'), Evans (55'), Collins (81')
Dec 9, 2006 3pm
Sunderland
2-1
Luton
Connolly (53'), Murphy (9')
Morgan (5')
Brkovic (90')
rhs 2.0


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