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Championship | Gameweek 21
Nov 11, 2022 at 8pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Sunderland

Birmingham
1 - 2
Sunderland

FT(HT: 0-1)
Simms (25'), Diallo (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 2-2 Swansea
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 0-1 Cardiff
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 41.65%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 31.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawSunderland
31.07% (0.0040000000000013 0)27.28% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)41.65% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Both teams to score 49.03% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.71% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)56.28% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.68% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)77.32% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.82% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)33.17% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.22% (0.010999999999999 0.01)69.78% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)26.63% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)61.87% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 31.07%
    Sunderland 41.64%
    Draw 27.27%
Birmingham CityDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 9.75% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 7.12% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 5.38% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 2.62% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.98%
3-2 @ 1.73%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 31.07%
1-1 @ 12.89%
0-0 @ 8.84% (-0.0029999999999983 -0)
2-2 @ 4.71% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.27%
0-1 @ 11.68% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.53%
0-2 @ 7.73% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 3.76%
0-3 @ 3.41% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.08% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.24%
0-4 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 41.64%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Sunderland

Birmingham City
69.8%
Draw
19.0%
Sunderland
11.2%
116
Head to Head
Jan 30, 2018 7.45pm
Birmingham
3-1
Sunderland
Davis (28'), Boga (44'), Gallagher (54')
N'Doye (52'), Davis (59'), Grounds (87')
Oviedo (84')
Clarke-Salter (47'), Robson (58'), Honeyman (78')
Dec 23, 2017 3pm
Aug 27, 2014 7.45pm
Birmingham
0-3
Sunderland

Thomas (53')
Gomez (77'), Johnson (87'), Wickham (88')
Apr 16, 2011 3pm
Aug 14, 2010 3pm
Sunderland
2-2
Birmingham
Bent (24' pen.), Carr (56' og.)
Cattermole (28'), Richardson (30'), Bent (66')
Cattermole (44')
Dann (77'), Ridgewell (88')
Carr (23'), Johnson (71')
rhs 2.0


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