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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 41.65%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 31.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Birmingham City | Draw | Sunderland |
| 31.07% ( | 27.28% ( | 41.65% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.03% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.71% ( | 56.28% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.68% ( | 77.32% ( |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.82% ( | 33.17% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.22% ( | 69.78% ( |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.36% ( | 26.63% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.13% ( | 61.87% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Birmingham City | Draw | Sunderland |
| 1-0 @ 9.75% ( 2-1 @ 7.12% ( 2-0 @ 5.38% ( 3-1 @ 2.62% ( 3-0 @ 1.98% 3-2 @ 1.73% Other @ 2.5% Total : 31.07% | 1-1 @ 12.89% 0-0 @ 8.84% ( 2-2 @ 4.71% ( Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.27% | 0-1 @ 11.68% ( 1-2 @ 8.53% 0-2 @ 7.73% ( 1-3 @ 3.76% 0-3 @ 3.41% ( 2-3 @ 2.08% ( 1-4 @ 1.24% 0-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.08% Total : 41.64% |