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Championship | Gameweek 21
Nov 11, 2022 at 8pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Sunderland

Birmingham
1 - 2
Sunderland

Jutkiewicz (78')
Mejbri (28')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Simms (25'), Diallo (49')
Huggins (42'), Evans (74'), Matete (88'), Clarke (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 2-2 Swansea
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 0-1 Cardiff
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Birmingham City 2-1 Sunderland

Birmingham are defying pre-season predictions of relegation and showing the Championship they are a hard matchup for any side in the division after a spell which leaves them in touching distance of the top six. Sunderland have stuttered after a very promising start to the season and could struggle to handle an energetic home side buoyed by the return of Bielik on Friday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 41.65%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 31.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawSunderland
31.07% (0.0040000000000013 0) 27.28% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 41.65% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Both teams to score 49.03% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.71% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)56.28% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.68% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)77.32% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.82% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)33.17% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.22% (0.010999999999999 0.01)69.78% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)26.63% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)61.87% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 31.07%
    Sunderland 41.64%
    Draw 27.27%
Birmingham CityDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 9.75% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 7.12% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 5.38% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 2.62% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.98%
3-2 @ 1.73%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 31.07%
1-1 @ 12.89%
0-0 @ 8.84% (-0.0029999999999983 -0)
2-2 @ 4.71% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.27%
0-1 @ 11.68% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.53%
0-2 @ 7.73% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 3.76%
0-3 @ 3.41% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.08% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.24%
0-4 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 41.64%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Sunderland

Birmingham City
69.8%
Draw
19.0%
Sunderland
11.2%
116
Head to Head
Jan 30, 2018 7.45pm
Birmingham
3-1
Sunderland
Davis (28'), Boga (44'), Gallagher (54')
N'Doye (52'), Davis (59'), Grounds (87')
Oviedo (84')
Clarke-Salter (47'), Robson (58'), Honeyman (78')
Dec 23, 2017 3pm
Aug 27, 2014 7.45pm
Birmingham
0-3
Sunderland

Thomas (53')
Gomez (77'), Johnson (87'), Wickham (88')
Apr 16, 2011 3pm
Aug 14, 2010 3pm
Sunderland
2-2
Birmingham
Bent (24' pen.), Carr (56' og.)
Cattermole (28'), Richardson (30'), Bent (66')
Cattermole (44')
Dann (77'), Ridgewell (88')
Carr (23'), Johnson (71')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Sunderland21117332171540
4Burnley2010822471738
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
8Watford199462725231
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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