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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 59.11%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 16.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.19%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (6.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sunderland | Draw | Cardiff City |
| 59.11% ( | 23.99% ( | 16.9% ( |
| Both teams to score 43.59% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.21% ( | 55.79% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.08% ( | 76.91% ( |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.32% ( | 18.68% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.97% ( | 50.02% ( |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.6% ( | 46.4% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.97% ( | 82.03% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sunderland | Draw | Cardiff City |
| 1-0 @ 14.54% 2-0 @ 12.19% ( 2-1 @ 9.37% ( 3-0 @ 6.82% ( 3-1 @ 5.24% ( 4-0 @ 2.86% ( 4-1 @ 2.2% ( 3-2 @ 2.01% ( 5-0 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 2.92% Total : 59.1% | 1-1 @ 11.16% ( 0-0 @ 8.67% ( 2-2 @ 3.6% ( Other @ 0.56% Total : 23.98% | 0-1 @ 6.66% ( 1-2 @ 4.29% ( 0-2 @ 2.56% ( 1-3 @ 1.1% ( 2-3 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 1.38% Total : 16.9% |