Birmingham logo
Blackburn logo
Bristol City
Charlton Athletic
Coventry City
Derby logo
Hull logo
Ipswich logo
Leicester logo
Middlesbrough logo
Millwall logo
Norwich logo
Oxford United
Portsmouth
Preston North End logo
QPR logo
Sheffield United logo
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Southampton logo
Stoke logo
Swansea logo
Watford logo
West Brom logo
Wrexham AFC
Cardiff City logo
Championship | Gameweek 19
Nov 2, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Watford logo

Cardiff
1 - 2
Watford

Kipre (9')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sierralta (38'), Sarr (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 1-0 Rotherham
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Wigan 0-1 Watford
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 37.56%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 34.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.99%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (10.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Watford in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Watford.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawWatford
34.66% (0.268 0.27)27.78% (0.179 0.18)37.56% (-0.443 -0.44)
Both teams to score 48.4% (-0.498 -0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.53% (-0.641 -0.64)57.47% (0.642 0.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.73% (-0.511 -0.51)78.27% (0.512 0.51)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.67% (-0.146 -0.15)31.33% (0.148 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.31% (-0.171 -0.17)67.69% (0.173 0.17)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.48% (-0.574 -0.57)29.52% (0.576 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.47% (-0.705 -0.7)65.53% (0.708 0.71)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 34.66%
    Watford 37.56%
    Draw 27.77%
Cardiff CityDrawWatford
1-0 @ 10.73% (0.22 0.22)
2-1 @ 7.6% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 6.23% (0.101 0.1)
3-1 @ 2.94% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.41% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.79% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 34.66%
1-1 @ 13.09% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 9.25% (0.224 0.22)
2-2 @ 4.64% (-0.074000000000001 -0.07)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.77%
0-1 @ 11.28% (0.1 0.1)
1-2 @ 7.99% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
0-2 @ 6.88% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.25% (-0.091 -0.09)
0-3 @ 2.8% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.89% (-0.061 -0.06)
1-4 @ 0.99% (-0.045 -0.05)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 37.56%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Watford

Cardiff City
18.0%
Draw
13.5%
Watford
68.5%
89
Head to Head
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
Cardiff
1-2
Watford
Sierralta (14' og.)
Bacuna (81'), Ng (90+2')
Chalobah (15'), Masina (90+3')
Bachmann (39'), Hughes (45+1'), Sarr (82'), Sierralta (85')
Dec 5, 2020 3pm
Watford
0-1
Cardiff

Perica (89')
Moore (43')
Ojo (60'), Ralls (66')
Feb 22, 2019 7.45pm
Cardiff
1-5
Watford
Bamba (82')
Paterson (85')
Deulofeu (18', 61', 63'), Deeney (73', 91')
Capoue (30'), Pereyra (55')
Dec 15, 2018 3pm
Watford
3-2
Cardiff
Deulofeu (16'), Holebas (52'), Quina (68')
Hoilett (80'), Reid (82')
Jul 28, 2015 7.45pm
rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!