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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 37.56%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 34.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.99%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (10.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Watford in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Watford.
| Result | ||
| Cardiff City | Draw | Watford |
| 34.66% ( | 27.78% ( | 37.56% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.4% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.53% ( | 57.47% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.73% ( | 78.27% ( |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.67% ( | 31.33% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.31% ( | 67.69% ( |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.48% ( | 29.52% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.47% ( | 65.53% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Cardiff City | Draw | Watford |
| 1-0 @ 10.73% ( 2-1 @ 7.6% ( 2-0 @ 6.23% ( 3-1 @ 2.94% ( 3-0 @ 2.41% ( 3-2 @ 1.79% ( Other @ 2.96% Total : 34.66% | 1-1 @ 13.09% ( 0-0 @ 9.25% ( 2-2 @ 4.64% ( Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.77% | 0-1 @ 11.28% ( 1-2 @ 7.99% ( 0-2 @ 6.88% ( 1-3 @ 3.25% ( 0-3 @ 2.8% ( 2-3 @ 1.89% ( 1-4 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 2.47% Total : 37.56% |