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Championship
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Championship | Gameweek 19
Nov 2, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Watford logo

Cardiff
1 - 2
Watford

Kipre (9')
Nkounkou (40'), Wintle (77')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sierralta (38'), Sarr (59')
Sema (77'), Gaspar (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cardiff City

All competitions
Last Game: Cardiff 1-0 Rotherham
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in Championship

Watford

All competitions
Last Game: Wigan 0-1 Watford
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Cardiff City 1-2 Watford

 Hudson and Cardiff will be on a high after getting back on track at the weekend. Nevertheless, there can be no doubting that Watford possess the superior quality in the final third, something which we feel will lead to the Hornets edging this contest by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 37.56%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 34.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.99%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (10.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Watford in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Watford.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawWatford
34.66% (0.268 0.27) 27.78% (0.179 0.18) 37.56% (-0.443 -0.44)
Both teams to score 48.4% (-0.498 -0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.53% (-0.641 -0.64)57.47% (0.642 0.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.73% (-0.511 -0.51)78.27% (0.512 0.51)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.67% (-0.146 -0.15)31.33% (0.148 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.31% (-0.171 -0.17)67.69% (0.173 0.17)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.48% (-0.574 -0.57)29.52% (0.576 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.47% (-0.705 -0.7)65.53% (0.708 0.71)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 34.66%
    Watford 37.56%
    Draw 27.77%
Cardiff CityDrawWatford
1-0 @ 10.73% (0.22 0.22)
2-1 @ 7.6% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 6.23% (0.101 0.1)
3-1 @ 2.94% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.41% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.79% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 34.66%
1-1 @ 13.09% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 9.25% (0.224 0.22)
2-2 @ 4.64% (-0.074000000000001 -0.07)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.77%
0-1 @ 11.28% (0.1 0.1)
1-2 @ 7.99% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
0-2 @ 6.88% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.25% (-0.091 -0.09)
0-3 @ 2.8% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.89% (-0.061 -0.06)
1-4 @ 0.99% (-0.045 -0.05)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 37.56%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Watford

Cardiff City
18.0%
Draw
13.5%
Watford
68.5%
89
Head to Head
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
Cardiff
1-2
Watford
Sierralta (14' og.)
Bacuna (81'), Ng (90+2')
Chalobah (15'), Masina (90+3')
Bachmann (39'), Hughes (45+1'), Sarr (82'), Sierralta (85')
Dec 5, 2020 3pm
Watford
0-1
Cardiff

Perica (89')
Moore (43')
Ojo (60'), Ralls (66')
> Match Report
Feb 22, 2019 7.45pm
Cardiff
1-5
Watford
Bamba (82')
Paterson (85')
Deulofeu (18', 61', 63'), Deeney (73', 91')
Capoue (30'), Pereyra (55')
> Match Report
Dec 15, 2018 3pm
Watford
3-2
Cardiff
Deulofeu (16'), Holebas (52'), Quina (68')
Hoilett (80'), Reid (82')
> Match Report
Jul 28, 2015 7.45pm
Cardiff
2-1
Watford
Mason (18', 80')
Deeney (31')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116
> Championship Full Table


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