Championship

Championship | Gameweek 9

Nov 8, 2022 at 8pm UK

Vicarage Road

Watford
2 - 0
Reading

Pedro (15' pen., 87')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Watford and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Watford

All competitions

Last Game: Watford 0-1 Coventry
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Reading

All competitions

Last Game: Reading 1-2 Preston
Friday, November 4 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 60.96%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Reading had a probability of 16.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.71%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.

Result
Watford	Draw	Reading
60.96% ( -0.43)	22.45% ( 0.05)	16.58% ( 0.37)

Both teams to score 47.28% (

0.6)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.53% (

0.4)

50.47% (

-0.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.6% (

0.35)

72.39% (

-0.36)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.89% (

-0.01)

16.11% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.47% (

-0.01)

45.52% (

0.01)

Reading Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.36% (

0.72)

43.63% (

-0.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.18% (

0.59)

79.82% (

-0.6)

Score Analysis

Watford 60.96%

Reading 16.58%

Draw 22.44%

Watford	Draw	Reading
1-0 @ 12.83% ( -0.21) 2-0 @ 11.71% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 7.13% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 5.91% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 3.25% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.7% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.06) 5-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 1.96% Total : 60.96%	1-1 @ 10.64% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.03% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.75% Total : 22.44%	0-1 @ 5.83% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.59% Total : 16.58%