Championship Gameweek 9
Nov 8, 2022 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Vicarage Road
  • Joao Pedro 15' goal
  • Joao Pedro 87' goal

Watford vs Reading - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Watford

All competitions
Last game
Nov 5, 2022 3.00pm
Watford 0 - 1 Coventry
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Joao Pedro

Reading

All competitions
Last game
Nov 4, 2022 8.00pm
Reading 1 - 2 Preston
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Tom Ince

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 60.96%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Reading had a probability of 16.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.71%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.

Result

Watford 60.96% (-0.43)
Draw 22.45% (+0.06)
Reading 16.58% (+0.38)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.28% (+0.61)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.53% (+0.40)
Under 2.5 50.47% (-0.41)
Over 3.5 27.6% (+0.36)
Under 3.5 72.39% (-0.36)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5 83.89% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 16.11% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 54.47% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 45.52% (+0.01)

Reading Goals

Over 0.5 56.36% (+0.73)
Under 0.5 43.63% (-0.73)
Over 1.5 20.18% (+0.60)
Under 1.5 79.82% (-0.60)

Score analysis

Watford 60.96%
Draw 22.44%
Reading 16.58%
Watford
1-0 @ 12.83% (-0.21)
2-0 @ 11.71% (-0.20)
2-1 @ 9.72% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 7.13% (-0.13)
3-1 @ 5.91% (+0.03)
4-0 @ 3.25% (-0.06)
4-1 @ 2.7% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.45% (+0.06)
5-0 @ 1.19% (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.12% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 60.96%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.64% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 7.03% (-0.12)
2-2 @ 4.03% (+0.10)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 22.44%
Reading
0-1 @ 5.83% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 4.41% (+0.11)
0-2 @ 2.42% (+0.06)
1-3 @ 1.22% (+0.06)
2-3 @ 1.11% (+0.05)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 16.58%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 41
Apr 9, 2021 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Vicarage Road
  • Ismaila Sarr 12' goal
  • Ismaila Sarr 14' goal
  • Philip Zinckernagel 17' yellowcard
  • Will Hughes 75' yellowcard
  • Isaac Success 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andy Rinomhota 56'
Championship Gameweek 4
Oct 3, 2020 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Madejski Stadium
  • Josh Laurent 39' yellowcard
  • George Puscas 41' goal
  • Omar Richards 62' yellowcard
  • Dejan Tetek 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ben Wilmot 40'
  • yellowcard Joao Pedro 87'
  • yellowcard Nathaniel Chalobah 90'+4'
EFL Cup
Aug 29, 2018 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Madejski Stadium (Reading, Berkshire)
  • Yakou Meite 89' yellowcard
  • goal Isaac Success 37'
  • goal Domingos Quina 62'
  • yellowcard Marc Navarro 90'
Championship
Mar 14, 2015 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Almen Abdi 1' goal
  • Matej Vydra 39' goal
  • Troy Deeney 48' goal
  • Fernando Forestieri 85' goal
  • goal Jem Karacan 70'
Championship
Dec 20, 2014 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Daniel Williams 72' yellowcard
  • Glenn Murray 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Almen Abdi 29'
  • yellowcard Gabrielle Angella 38'
  • yellowcard Gabrielle Angella 45'
  • redcard Gabrielle Angella 45'
  • goal Almen Abdi 70'
Championship
Jan 11, 2014 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Alexander Merkel 42' yellowcard
  • Fernando Forestieri 83' yellowcard
  • Alexander Merkel 93' redcard
  • Daniel Pudil 97' yellowcard
  • goal Kasper Gorkss 5'
  • yellowcard Adam Le Fondre 16'
  • yellowcard Hope Akpan 56'
  • yellowcard Jobi McAnuff 58'
  • yellowcard Nick Blackman 96'

Build-up

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