Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 47.88%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 27.07% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 0-1 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.