Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 37.81%. A win for Reading had a probability of 33.97% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.91%) and 0-2 (7.07%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (11.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Preston North End would win this match.