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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 37.81%. A win for Reading had a probability of 33.97% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.91%) and 0-2 (7.07%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (11.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Preston North End would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Reading | Draw | Preston North End |
| 33.97% ( | 28.21% ( | 37.81% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.03% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.87% ( | 59.13% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.43% ( | 79.57% ( |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.37% ( | 32.63% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.82% ( | 69.17% ( |
| Preston North End Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.81% ( | 30.18% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.66% ( | 66.34% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Reading | Draw | Preston North End |
| 1-0 @ 11.03% ( 2-1 @ 7.4% 2-0 @ 6.18% ( 3-1 @ 2.76% 3-0 @ 2.31% ( 3-2 @ 1.65% ( Other @ 2.65% Total : 33.97% | 1-1 @ 13.21% 0-0 @ 9.85% ( 2-2 @ 4.43% ( Other @ 0.72% Total : 28.21% | 0-1 @ 11.79% 1-2 @ 7.91% ( 0-2 @ 7.07% ( 1-3 @ 3.16% ( 0-3 @ 2.82% ( 2-3 @ 1.77% ( 1-4 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 2.34% Total : 37.8% |