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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 48.88%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Reading had a probability of 25.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.31%) and 0-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Reading win it was 1-0 (8.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Reading in this match.
Result | ||
Reading | Draw | Swansea City |
25.41% ( 1.19) | 25.7% ( 0.6) | 48.88% ( -1.79) |
Both teams to score 50.1% ( -0.65) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.83% ( -1.42) | 53.17% ( 1.41) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.26% ( -1.21) | 74.73% ( 1.21) |
Reading Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.04% ( 0.27) | 35.96% ( -0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.26% ( 0.27) | 72.74% ( -0.27) |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.23% ( -1.34) | 21.77% ( 1.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.04% ( -2.08) | 54.96% ( 2.08) |
Score Analysis |
Reading | Draw | Swansea City |
1-0 @ 8.01% ( 0.49) 2-1 @ 6.24% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 4.09% ( 0.28) 3-1 @ 2.13% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 1.62% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.11) Other @ 1.92% Total : 25.41% | 1-1 @ 12.2% ( 0.27) 0-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.43) 2-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.91% Total : 25.7% | 0-1 @ 11.93% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 9.31% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 9.1% ( -0.24) 1-3 @ 4.73% ( -0.29) 0-3 @ 4.62% ( -0.32) 2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.13) 1-4 @ 1.8% ( -0.19) 0-4 @ 1.76% ( -0.2) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.28% Total : 48.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
P | Leicester CityLeicester | 44 | 30 | 4 | 10 | 86 | 39 | 47 | 94 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 45 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 80 | 41 | 39 | 90 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 44 | 26 | 12 | 6 | 88 | 56 | 32 | 90 |
4 | Southampton | 45 | 25 | 9 | 11 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 84 |
5 | Norwich CityNorwich | 45 | 21 | 10 | 14 | 79 | 63 | 16 | 73 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 45 | 20 | 12 | 13 | 67 | 47 | 20 | 72 |
7 | Hull City | 45 | 19 | 13 | 13 | 68 | 59 | 9 | 70 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 45 | 19 | 9 | 17 | 68 | 61 | 7 | 66 |
9 | Coventry CityCoventry | 44 | 17 | 13 | 14 | 68 | 55 | 13 | 64 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 44 | 18 | 9 | 17 | 56 | 61 | -5 | 63 |
11 | Bristol City | 45 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 62 |
12 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 45 | 19 | 5 | 21 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 62 |
13 | Swansea CitySwansea | 45 | 15 | 12 | 18 | 59 | 64 | -5 | 57 |
14 | Watford | 45 | 13 | 17 | 15 | 60 | 58 | 2 | 56 |
15 | Sunderland | 45 | 16 | 8 | 21 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 56 |
16 | Millwall | 45 | 15 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 56 |
17 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 53 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 45 | 60 | -15 | 53 |
19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 58 | 74 | -16 | 50 |
20 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 45 | 14 | 8 | 23 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 50 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 45 | 12 | 12 | 21 | 58 | 70 | -12 | 48 |
22 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 45 | 12 | 11 | 22 | 49 | 65 | -16 | 47 |
23 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 45 | 9 | 18 | 18 | 48 | 75 | -27 | 45 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 45 | 4 | 12 | 29 | 32 | 87 | -55 | 24 |
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