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Championship | Gameweek 22
Dec 10, 2022 at 3pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Norwich logo

Swansea
0 - 1
Norwich


Naughton (49'), Wood (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pukki (1')
Gibson (9'), Hayden (36'), Idah (84'), Giannoulis (86'), McLean (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Huddersfield 0-0 Swansea
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 1-2 Middlesbrough
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 1-1 Norwich City

It is difficult to know exactly what to expect from this match, as it is such a unique season due to the winter break. There is not an awful lot to separate the two sides in terms of quality, though, and we have therefore settled on a low-scoring draw in this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 37.05%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 36.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 1-0 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Norwich City in this match.

Result
Swansea CityDrawNorwich City
36.53% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 26.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 37.05% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 52.81% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.01% (0.009999999999998 0.01)51.99% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.27% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)73.73% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.52% (0.016000000000005 0.02)27.48% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.02% (0.021000000000001 0.02)62.98% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.82% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)27.18% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.41% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)62.59% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 36.53%
    Norwich City 37.05%
    Draw 26.42%
Swansea CityDrawNorwich City
1-0 @ 9.65%
2-1 @ 8.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 6.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 3.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.68% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 2.28% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.13% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 36.53%
1-1 @ 12.56% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.47% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-2 @ 5.29% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.42%
0-1 @ 9.73% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.19% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 6.34% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 3.56% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.75% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.3% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.16%
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 37.05%

How you voted: Swansea vs Norwich

Swansea City
47.3%
Draw
31.1%
Norwich City
21.6%
74
Head to Head
Feb 5, 2021 8.15pm
Swansea
2-0
Norwich
Ayew (42'), Hourihane (48')
Bennett (65'), Guehi (69'), Woodman (84')

Idah (67'), Vrancic (78')
Nov 7, 2020 3pm
Norwich
1-0
Swansea
Stiepermann (84')
Aarons (88')

Guehi (17'), Naughton (36'), Bennett (38'), Fulton (55'), Roberts (90+3')
Mar 8, 2019 7.45pm
Nov 24, 2018 3pm
Swansea
1-4
Norwich
James (41')
Van der Hoorn (16' og.), Buendia (24'), Stiepermann (37'), Pukki (60')
Aarons (56'), Lewis (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
3Leeds UnitedLeeds462791081433890
4Southampton462691187632487
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
6Norwich CityNorwich4621101579641573
7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
RHuddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


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