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Championship | Gameweek 22
Dec 10, 2022 at 3pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Norwich logo

Swansea
0 - 1
Norwich

FT(HT: 0-1)
Pukki (1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Huddersfield 0-0 Swansea
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 1-2 Middlesbrough
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 37.05%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 36.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 1-0 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Norwich City in this match.

Result
Swansea CityDrawNorwich City
36.53% (0.018000000000001 0.02)26.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)37.05% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 52.81% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.01% (0.009999999999998 0.01)51.99% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.27% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)73.73% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.52% (0.016000000000005 0.02)27.48% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.02% (0.021000000000001 0.02)62.98% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.82% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)27.18% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.41% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)62.59% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 36.53%
    Norwich City 37.05%
    Draw 26.42%
Swansea CityDrawNorwich City
1-0 @ 9.65%
2-1 @ 8.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 6.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 3.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.68% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 2.28% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.13% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 36.53%
1-1 @ 12.56% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.47% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-2 @ 5.29% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.42%
0-1 @ 9.73% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.19% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 6.34% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 3.56% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.75% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.3% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.16%
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 37.05%

How you voted: Swansea vs Norwich

Swansea City
47.3%
Draw
31.1%
Norwich City
21.6%
74
Head to Head
Feb 5, 2021 8.15pm
Swansea
2-0
Norwich
Ayew (42'), Hourihane (48')
Bennett (65'), Guehi (69'), Woodman (84')

Idah (67'), Vrancic (78')
Nov 7, 2020 3pm
Norwich
1-0
Swansea
Stiepermann (84')
Aarons (88')

Guehi (17'), Naughton (36'), Bennett (38'), Fulton (55'), Roberts (90+3')
Mar 8, 2019 7.45pm
Nov 24, 2018 3pm
Swansea
1-4
Norwich
James (41')
Van der Hoorn (16' og.), Buendia (24'), Stiepermann (37'), Pukki (60')
Aarons (56'), Lewis (73')