Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 45.2%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 29.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 1-0 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.