Championship

Championship | Gameweek 21

Nov 12, 2022 at 3pm UK

Carrow Road

Norwich
1 - 2
Middlesbrough

Sargent (7')

FT(HT: 1-0)

McGree (64'), Crooks (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Norwich City

All competitions

Last Game: Rotherham 1-2 Norwich
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Middlesbrough

All competitions

Last Game: Blackpool 0-3 Middlesbrough
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 42.6%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 32.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.87%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Norwich City	Draw	Middlesbrough
42.6% ( 0.15)	24.83% ( 0.03)	32.57% ( -0.19)

Both teams to score 57.46% (

-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.33% (

-0.22)

45.67% (

0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.01% (

-0.2)

67.99% (

0.2)

Norwich City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.53% (

-0.02)

21.46% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.5% (

-0.03)

54.49% (

0.03)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.16% (

-0.22)

26.84% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.86% (

-0.29)

62.14% (

0.29)

Score Analysis

Norwich City 42.6%

Middlesbrough 32.57%

Draw 24.83%

Norwich City	Draw	Middlesbrough
2-1 @ 8.97% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.6% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.5% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.77% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.54% Total : 42.6%	1-1 @ 11.66% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.83%	1-2 @ 7.67% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 7.58% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.36% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.1% Total : 32.57%