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Championship | Gameweek 21
Nov 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
Middlesbrough logo

Norwich
1 - 2
Middlesbrough

Sargent (7')
Hayden (59')
FT(HT: 1-0)
McGree (64'), Crooks (90+2')
Lenihan (22'), Forss (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rotherham 1-2 Norwich
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackpool 0-3 Middlesbrough
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 1-1 Middlesbrough

This is one of the most intriguing fixtures of the weekend and we feel that Norwich will have every confidence of extending their revival. Nevertheless, Boro look a different side under Carrick, and the visitors could lead Carrow Road with a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 42.6%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 32.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.87%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Norwich CityDrawMiddlesbrough
42.6% (0.14899999999999 0.15) 24.83% (0.033999999999999 0.03) 32.57% (-0.186 -0.19)
Both teams to score 57.46% (-0.185 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.33% (-0.216 -0.22)45.67% (0.212 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.01% (-0.205 -0.2)67.99% (0.202 0.2)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.53% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)21.46% (0.017999999999997 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.5% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)54.49% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.16% (-0.22 -0.22)26.84% (0.217 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.86% (-0.29 -0.29)62.14% (0.286 0.29)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 42.6%
    Middlesbrough 32.57%
    Draw 24.83%
Norwich CityDrawMiddlesbrough
2-1 @ 8.97% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 8.87% (0.075000000000001 0.08)
2-0 @ 6.82% (0.053999999999999 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.6% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 3.5% (0.025 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.03% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.77% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.35% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.16% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 42.6%
1-1 @ 11.66% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.9% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.76% (0.052 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.33% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.83%
1-2 @ 7.67% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-1 @ 7.58% (0.022 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.98% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.36% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.59% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.19% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.11% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 32.57%

How you voted: Norwich vs Middlesbrough

Norwich City
80.6%
Draw
3.2%
Middlesbrough
16.1%
31
Head to Head
Jan 30, 2021 12.30pm
Nov 21, 2020 3pm
Mar 30, 2019 5.30pm
Sep 15, 2018 3pm
Feb 3, 2018 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd27176438172155
2Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
3Burnley27141123192253
4Sunderland27149439221751
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2712693124742
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom27914433221141
7Middlesbrough27118844341041
8Watford27125103837141
9Bristol City2791083331237
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
12Queens Park RangersQPR2781183034-435
13Swansea CitySwansea2797113033-334
14Coventry CityCoventry2788113537-232
15Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2788113041-1132
16Preston North EndPreston2761382834-631
17Millwall2679102424030
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Derby CountyDerby2776143137-627
20Cardiff CityCardiff2769122941-1227
21Hull City2768132636-1026
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2775152744-1726
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


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