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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 66.56%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Reading had a probability of 13.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.98%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.49%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Bromwich Albion would win this match.
Result | ||
West Bromwich Albion | Draw | Reading |
66.56% ( -0.35) | 19.96% ( 0.17) | 13.48% ( 0.18) |
Both teams to score 47.62% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.93% ( -0.35) | 46.07% ( 0.35) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.63% ( -0.33) | 68.37% ( 0.34) |
West Bromwich Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.06% ( -0.21) | 12.93% ( 0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.61% ( -0.42) | 39.39% ( 0.42) |
Reading Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.7% ( 0.05) | 45.3% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.83% ( 0.04) | 81.17% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
West Bromwich Albion | Draw | Reading |
2-0 @ 12.25% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 11.98% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 8.36% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 6.62% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 4.27% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 3.38% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.75% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.9% Total : 66.55% | 1-1 @ 9.49% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 3.84% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.77% Total : 19.96% | 0-1 @ 4.64% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 3.76% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.01% ( 0) 1-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.24% Total : 13.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 42 |
3 | Sunderland | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 40 |
4 | Burnley | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 24 | 7 | 17 | 38 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 34 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 20 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 32 |
8 | Watford | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 31 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 29 |
10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 27 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 25 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Coventry CityCoventry | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 24 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 21 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 22 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 18 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 18 |
22 | Portsmouth | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 17 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 42 | -23 | 17 |
24 | Hull City | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 16 |
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